- Utah State is a -4.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State vs. Utah State Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The San Diego State Aztecs (3-7) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (3-7) on Nov. 23 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.
Utah State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (+100).
The San Diego State vs. Utah State Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
San Diego State | +4.5 -120 | 61.5 -115 | +155 |
Utah State | -4.5 +100 | 61.5 -105 | -190 |
San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Utah State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Utah State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Diego State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Diego State Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Napier has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Marquez Cooper has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Louis Brown IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nate Bennett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Utah State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rahsul Faison has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- San Diego State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -55.32% ROI
- San Diego State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- San Diego State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).
- Utah State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -58.72% ROI
- Utah State is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Utah State is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State
San Diego State is winless (0-10) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .313
San Diego State is 2-14 (.125) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
San Diego State is 4-12 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .471
San Diego State is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434
Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
Utah State is 1-7 (.125) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .439
Utah State is 5-7 (.417) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Utah State is 1-10 (.091) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .352
Utah State is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Utah State
Utah State’s WRs has averaged 27.9 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has 180 receptions in 10 games (18.0 per game) this season — T-10th-best among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State’s WRs has averaged just 12.0 yards after the catch this season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.5 RAC to WRs this season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 6.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs have just 9.7 receiving yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 247.3 receiving yards per game this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has 17 receptions in 10 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game this season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.5 receptions (13 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State WRs have averaged 25.8 yards per reception (103 yards/4 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 5.7 yards after the catch this season — T-15th-worst among FBS RBs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 6.6 RAC to RBs this season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State WRs have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (195 yards/10 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends
Utah State RBs have averaged 8.5 Yards per Carry (470 yards/55 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
Utah State RBs have averaged 8.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (501 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Utah State’s WRs has averaged 27.9 targets per game this season — 11th-highest among FBS WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 14.7 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Utah State RBs averaged 9.1 Yards per Carry (299 yards/33 carries) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Utah State WRs have caught 51 touchdown passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (680 yards / 76 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.2
San Diego State allowed 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (432 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has allowed 8.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (680 yards / 76 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
San Diego State has forced 4 fumbles on 407 carries (101.8 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.3
San Diego State has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-4th-most in FBS
Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Utah State had 5 interceptions last week– most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 18 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Utah State has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State has allowed 17 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Utah State sacked opponents 7 times last week– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
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