San Jose St vs New Mexico State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:28 AM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The San Jose State Spartans (5-2) visit Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on the New Mexico State Aggies (3-5) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Las Cruces.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for San Jose St vs. New Mexico State is total points.

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San Jose St vs. New Mexico State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose St
New Mexico State

San Jose St vs New Mexico State Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 77.7% confidence.

San Jose St vs New Mexico State Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico State will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and New Mexico State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+9.75 Units / 110% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+7.61 Units / 44% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.94 Units / 57% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • San Jose St Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    San Jose St has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • San Jose St is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • San Jose St is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • San Jose St is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    New Mexico State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    New Mexico State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • New Mexico State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • New Mexico State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • New Mexico State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    New Mexico State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose St

    New Mexico State is winless (0-3) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

    New Mexico State is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

    New Mexico State is winless (0-10) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

    New Mexico State is 1-12 (.077) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .402

    Matchup Notes for San Jose St vs. New Mexico State

    New Mexico State’s RBs has 1,292 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 2,256 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

    San Jose St Offensive Stats & Trends

    San Jose State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 6.0 receptions (12 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

    San Jose State QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    San Jose State QBs have 17 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

    San Jose State TEs have 23 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

    San Jose State Skill Players have caught just 5 of 21 passes (24% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

    New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends

    New Mexico State RBs have averaged just 3.0 Yards per Carry (242 yards/80 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

    New Mexico State Skill Players have just one touchdown on 40 receptions this season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

    New Mexico State Skill Players have caught just 40 of 101 passes (40% Reception Pct) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 65%

    New Mexico State Skill Players have averaged just 8.0 receptions per game (40/5) this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.7

    New Mexico State Skill Players have no receptions on 2 targets in the Red Zone this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 58%

    San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

    San Jose State has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 625 carries (48.1 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.4

    San Jose State has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 625 carries (48.1 Carries Per TD) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24

    San Jose State has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 93 carries (7.2 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.7

    San Jose State has allowed a passer rating of 256.5 in the Red Zone (11.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 172.3

    San Jose State has allowed just 11.7 yards per completion (3,993 yards/340 completions) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

    New Mexico State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

    New Mexico State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 78 of 489 attempts (16%) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

    New Mexico State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 78 of 489 attempts (16%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 10%

    New Mexico State has allowed a passer rating of 167.1 (489.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.8

    New Mexico State has allowed a passer rating of 167.1 (489.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 133.4

    New Mexico State opponents has averaged just 12.5 Passing Attempts per TD (489 Pass Attempts/39 Passing TDs) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.5


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