San Jose St vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • San Jose St (6-2) are -2.5 point favorites vs San Diego State (5-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The San Jose State Spartans (6-4) visit Snapdragon Stadium to take on the San Diego State Aztecs (7-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in San Diego.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for San Jose St vs. San Diego State is total points.

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San Jose St vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose St
San Diego State

San Jose St vs San Diego State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 52.0% confidence.

San Jose St vs San Diego State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and San Diego State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best San Diego State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Diego State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Braxton Burmeister has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Braxton Burmeister has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+7.75 Units / 137% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.75 Units / 38% ROI)

San Jose St Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose St is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 2.63% ROI
  • San Jose St is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • San Jose St is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Diego State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -3.28% ROI
  • San Diego State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • San Diego State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

San Jose St: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State

San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .625

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose St

San Diego State is 14-1 (.933) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .562

San Diego State is 8-1 (.800) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .507

San Diego State is 11-1 (.846) when not throwing an interception — 11th-best in FBS; Average: .578

San Jose St Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State QBs have 19 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

San Jose State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

San Jose State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 33.7 receptions (101 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

San Jose State QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

San Jose State RBs have averaged 63.7 rushing yards per game (446/7) this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 130.5

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State RBs have rushed for one TD on 28 carries in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

San Diego State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 223 carries (111.5 Carries Per TD) this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2

San Diego State RBs have fumbled 13 times since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

San Diego State RBs have carried the ball 113 times on 3rd down since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

San Diego State Skill Players have been targeted 4 times in short yardage situations this season– tied for 3rd fewest among FBS Teams

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (27/205) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 7%

San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (27/205) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 17 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 11%.

San Jose State has averaged 3.9 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2

San Jose State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 109 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 90 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.0

San Diego State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 90 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

San Diego State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 668 carries (44.5 Carries Per TD) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.8

San Diego State has allowed 4.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (507 yards / 109 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3.6

San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 138 of 668 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.