San Jose St vs Utah St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Utah St is a -3.5 point favorite vs. San Jose St
  • San Jose State vs. Utah State Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

San Jose State (2-4) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on Utah State (3-3) on Oct. 17 in Logan, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.

Utah St is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The San Jose State vs. Utah State Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+3.5 -11563.5 -110140
Utah State -3.5 -10563.5 -110-170

San Jose State vs Utah State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this game with 61.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Utah St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

San Jose State vs Utah State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • San Josรฉ State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.82 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Utah State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah St iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Utah State is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -9.68% ROI
  • Utah State is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Utah State is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah State

San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429

San Jose State was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 34.7 times per game (208/6) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 1,865 passing yards in 6 games (310.8 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 257.2 passing yards per game this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State has 465 receptions in 19 games (24.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 21.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

San Jose State threw for 4 TDs in the 1st half last week– most among FBS Offenses

San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Utah State

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 34.7 times per game (208/6) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 1,865 passing yards in 6 games (310.8 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 257.2 passing yards per game this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State has 465 receptions in 19 games (24.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 21.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

San Jose State threw for 4 TDs in the 1st half last week– most among FBS Offenses

San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429

San Jose State was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429

San Jose State was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 34.7 times per game (208/6) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 1,865 passing yards in 6 games (310.8 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 257.2 passing yards per game this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State has 465 receptions in 19 games (24.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 21.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

San Jose State threw for 4 TDs in the 1st half last week– most among FBS Offenses

San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429

San Jose State was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs have been targeted 34.7 times per game (208/6) this season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 1,865 passing yards in 6 games (310.8 YPG) this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Utah State’s defense has allowed 257.2 passing yards per game this season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

San Jose State has 465 receptions in 19 games (24.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 11th-best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed 21.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

San Jose State threw for 4 TDs in the 1st half last week– most among FBS Offenses

San Jose State RBs averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (715 yards/83 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0


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