San Jose St vs Utah State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • San Jose St (6-3) are -1.5 point favorites vs Utah State (5-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Networks

The San Jose State Spartans (6-4) visit Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Logan.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for San Jose St vs. Utah State is total points.

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San Jose St vs. Utah State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose St
Utah State

San Jose St vs Utah State Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 53.2% confidence.

San Jose St vs Utah State Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose St and Utah State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+6.45 Units / 108% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+17.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.85 Units / 38% ROI)

San Jose St Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Jose St is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI
  • San Jose St is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • San Jose St is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah State is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 3.69% ROI
  • Utah State is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
  • Utah State is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI

Utah State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose St

Utah State is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561

Utah State is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .493

Utah State is 10-2 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .513

Utah State is 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .591

San Jose St Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.3 receptions (16 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

San Jose State RBs have averaged 3.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (140 yards / 44 touches) on 3rd down since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

San Jose State RBs have averaged 59.8 rushing yards per game (478/8) this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 130.8

San Jose State RBs have averaged 1.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (7 yards / 5 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

San Jose State QBs have 19 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah State RBs have averaged just 3.4 Yards per Carry (582 yards/173 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Utah State RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 213 carries (71 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.6

Utah State RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (659 yards / 183 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Utah State RBs have rushed for 14 TDs on 653 carries (46.6 Carries Per TD) since last season– 4th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9

Utah State RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (206 yards / 54 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (29/228) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 7%

San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs on 13% of pass attempts (29/228) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

San Jose State has sacked opponents 10 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most in FBS

San Jose State has allowed 18 rushing TDs on 741 carries (41.2 Carries Per TD) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.8

San Jose State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 16 of their 741 carries (2%) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Utah State Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah State has allowed 9.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (211 yards / 23 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 4.8

Utah State has no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.2

Utah State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (116 completions/225 attempts) this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Utah State has sacked opponents 10 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most in FBS

Utah State has tackled opponents for a loss on 30 of 120 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.