- Eastern Michigan Eagles is a -3 point favorite vs. San Jose State Spartans
- San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
San Jose State (0-1) visit Rynearson Stadium to take on Eastern Michigan (1-0) on Sep. 4 in Ypsilanti, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 pm.
The Eastern Michigan Eagles are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -3 (-108).
The San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Jose State | +3 -110 | 56.5 -112 | +125 |
| Eastern Michigan | -3 -108 | 56.5 -105 | -150 |
San Jose State vs Eastern Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Eastern Michigan will win this game with 58.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose State Spartans and Eastern Michigan Eagles, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Jose State vs Eastern Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Eastern Michigan will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan
San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442
San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
San Jose State was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Eastern Michigan was 2-5 (.286) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Eastern Michigan was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Eastern Michigan was 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Eastern Michigan was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 12.9 RAC last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Sacramento State’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 9.2 RAC to RBs last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State gained 3,335 yards on 265 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. USC’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State gained 3,335 yards on 265 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 184.2 passing yards per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State gained 3,335 yards on 265 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. USC’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State WRs were targeted 33.2 times per game (431/13) last season– 3rd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.4
San Jose State gained 3,335 yards on 265 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State WRs were targeted 122 times in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Eastern Michigan’s defense allowed just 184.2 passing yards per game last season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 12.9 RAC last season — T-11th-worst among FBS defenses.
Eastern Michigan were sacked just once on 99 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 13.7
Eastern Michigan were sacked 11 times on 403 pass attempts (one sack every 36.6 pass attempts) last season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.7
Eastern Michigan WRs averaged 22.8 yards per reception (525 yards/23 catches) in close and late situations last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2
Eastern Michigan’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. Sacramento State’s defense allowed just 5.7 RAC to RBs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 469 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
San Jose State did not record a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 93 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 469 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
San Jose State had 21 interceptions last season– 3rd-most in FBS
Eastern Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Eastern Michigan forced 4 fumbles on 505 carries (126.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 47.1
Eastern Michigan did not record a sack (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Eastern Michigan tackled opponents for a loss on just 58 of 505 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) last season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Eastern Michigan allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (17 completions/24 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Eastern Michigan has sacked opposing QBs just once on 65 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.2
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