- The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are a -3 point favorite vs. the San Jose State Spartans
- San Jose State vs. Hawaii Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
- TV Channel: MW+
San Jose State (2-2) visit Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex to take on Hawaii (1-3) on Oct. 3 in Honolulu, HI. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:59 pm.
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3 (-102).
The San Jose State vs. Hawaii Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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San Jose State vs. Hawaii Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Jose State | +3 -118 | 51.5 -110 | +120 |
| Hawaii | -3 -102 | 51.5 -108 | -145 |
San Jose State vs Hawaii Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Hawai'i will win this game with 57.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the San Jose State Spartans and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Jose State vs Hawaii Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hawai'i will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Jose State Best Bets Today
- San José State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- San José State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Hawaii Best Bets Today
- Hawaii has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.35 Units / 25% ROI)
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose State Spartans is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI).
- Hawaii is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -34.88% ROI
- Hawaii is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -51.72% ROI
- Hawaii is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 42.7% ROI
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429
San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
San Jose State is 3-5 (.375) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .564
San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Hawai’i is undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .639
Hawai’i was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372
Hawai’i was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Hawai’i was 1-4 (.200) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for San Jose State vs. Hawaii
Hawai’i’s offense threw for 3,778 passing yards in 13 games (290.6 YPG) last season — 8th-best among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s WRs has 597 receptions in 29 games (20.6 per game) since the 2024 season — best among FBS WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s QBs threw for 3,744 passing yards in 13 games (288.0 YPG) last season — 9th-best among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch last season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed 12.5 RAC last season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State gained 3,335 yards on 265 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Hawai’i’s defense allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception last season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch last season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense allowed just 5.5 RAC to RBs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State have thrown for 5 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Offenses
San Jose State Skill Players have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
San Jose State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 95 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
San Jose State WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
San Jose State Skill Players have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i have thrown for 4 TDs in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Offenses
Hawai’i WRs have averaged 20.7 receptions per game (352/17) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5
Hawai’i have thrown 4 TDs on 186 pass attempts (one TD every 46.5 Pass Attempts) this season– 7th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 16.6
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 576 times since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 44 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State has not forced a fumble (133 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%
San Jose State has not forced a fumble (133 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.2
San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 118 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 118 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Hawaii Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i opponents has averaged 55.0 Passing Attempts per TD (110 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.5
Hawai’i has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 93 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Hawai’i opponents has averaged 7.0 Passing Attempts per TD (49 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Hawai’i has allowed 2 touchdowns on 66 completions (33.0 Completions Per TD) this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.1
The Hawai’i defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives (8/68) in the 3rd quarter since the 2024 season– T-9th-best in FBS; Average: 20%
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