SMU vs Clemson Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

FILE - Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney runs onto the field before an NCAA college football game against North Carolina Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Clemson, S.C. Clemson tries to end its worst season since 2010 with a five-game winning streak when it plays Kentucky in the Gator Bowl.(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman,File)
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
  • Clemson is a -9.5 point favorite vs. SMU
  • SMU vs. Clemson Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

SMU (4-2) visit Memorial Stadium to take on Clemson (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Clemson, SC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Clemson is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. Clemson Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Clemson Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU+9.5 -11055.5 -115270
Clemson -9.5 -11055.5 -105-350

SMU vs Clemson Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Clemson will win this game with 82.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Clemson, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU is 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

  • SMU is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.83% ROI
  • SMU is 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
  • SMU is 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI

Clemson Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Clemson iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.35 Units / -35.88% ROI).

  • Clemson is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -40.47% ROI
  • Clemson is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI
  • Clemson is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Clemson

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

SMU was 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Clemson: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Clemson was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

Matchup Notes for SMU vs. Clemson

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Clemson was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

SMU was 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

SMU was 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Clemson Offensive Stats & Trends

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Clemson was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .602

SMU was 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Clemson Defensive Stats & Trends

Clemson was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Clemson was 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Clemson was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .602

Clemson was 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575


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