SMU vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel (8) celebrates after a touchdown against Oklahoma State during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, in Norman, Okla. (AP Photo/Alonzo Adams)
(AP Photo/Alonzo Adams)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:08 PM
  • Oklahoma is a -15.5 point favorite vs. SMU
  • Total (Over/Under): 69 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The SMU Mustangs visit Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium to take on the Oklahoma Sooners on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Norman.

Oklahoma is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The SMU vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 69 total points.

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SMU vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU+15.5 -11069 -110+550
Oklahoma -15.5 -11069 -110-800

SMU vs Oklahoma Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 89.5% confidence.

SMU vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 69.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Oklahoma, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Oklahoma Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jalil Farooq has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Drake Stoops has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.55 Units / 11% ROI)

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • SMU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 8.62% ROI
  • SMU is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • SMU is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -42.21% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

SMU was winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

#20 Oklahoma is 13-2 (.812) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .550

#20 Oklahoma is 9-6 (.429) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .370

#20 Oklahoma was 4-2 (.571) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .427

#20 Oklahoma is 10-4 (.500) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .347

Matchup Notes for SMU vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 7,161 passing yards in 27 games (265.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs gained 2,415 yards on 156 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS WRs. SMU’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs gained 2,415 yards on 156 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among Big 12 WRs. SMU’s defense allowed 15.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-worst among FBS defenses.

SMU’s offense threw for 4,117 passing yards in 13 games (316.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — seventh-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 289.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

SMU’s QBs has thrown for 8,278 passing yards in 26 games (318.4 YPG) since the 2021 season — ninth-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 279.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 1,017 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU’s offense threw for 4,117 passing yards in 13 games (316.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — seventh-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 289.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

SMU’s QBs has thrown for 8,278 passing yards in 26 games (318.4 YPG) since the 2021 season — ninth-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 279.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among P5 defenses.

SMU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.6% of 1,017 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.

SMU’s QBs threw for 4,264 passing yards in 13 games (328.0 YPG) in the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 289.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

SMU’s WRs averaged 28.2 targets per game in the 2022 season — tied for 15th-highest among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense allowed 16.8 receptions per game to WRs in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

#20 Oklahoma WRs have averaged 26.0 receptions per game (26/1) this season– tied for 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

#20 Oklahoma Skill Players averaged 21.6 yards per reception (302 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

#20 Oklahoma Skill Players averaged 21.6 yards per reception (302 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 7,161 passing yards in 27 games (265.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense has allowed 265.0 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s WRs gained 2,415 yards on 156 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS WRs. SMU’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

SMU Mustangs Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has averaged 6.0 sacks per game this season– tied for 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

SMU has averaged 6.0 sacks per game this season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 2.0

SMU has sacked opponents 4 times on 1st down this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

SMU allowed 6.9 Yards per Carry (1,392 yards/203 carries) on 1st down in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 4.5

SMU has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 24 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) this season– 5th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

#20 Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 31 of 135 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#20 Oklahoma has allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2021 season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#20 Oklahoma had 16 interceptions in the 2022 season– 3rd most in FBS

#20 Oklahoma averaged 1.45 interceptions per game (16/11) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.83

#20 Oklahoma averaged 1.45 interceptions per game (16/11) in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 0.82


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.