- SMU is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Wake Forest
- SMU vs. Wake Forest Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
SMU (5-2) visit Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on Wake Forest (4-2) on Oct. 25 in Winston Salem, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
SMU is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The SMU vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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SMU vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | -3.5 -105 | 54.5 -110 | -165 |
| Wake Forest | +3.5 -115 | 54.5 -110 | 140 |
SMU vs Wake Forest Prediction:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Wake Forest, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
SMU vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wake Forest will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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SMU Best Bets Today
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
Wake Forest Best Bets Today
- Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wake Forest has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- SMU is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.25% ROI
- SMU is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- SMU is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Wake Forest Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Wake Forest iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Wake Forest is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 11.65% ROI
- Wake Forest is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.48% ROI
- Wake Forest is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -36.84% ROI
SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Wake Forest
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Wake Forest: Keys to the Game vs. SMU
Wake Forest has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.3
Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Wake Forest has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 33.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Matchup Notes for SMU vs. Wake Forest
Wake Forest has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.3
Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Wake Forest has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 33.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .613
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.3
Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Wake Forest has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 33.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459
Wake Forest was 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462
Wake Forest was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Wake Forest is 4-1 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .613
Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends
Wake Forest has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.3
Wake Forest allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (320 completions/454 attempts) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Wake Forest has no interceptions (67 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 33.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.5
Wake Forest opponents averaged 26.7 completions per game (320 / 12) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18.8
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