South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:41 PM
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  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The South Alabama Jaguars (6-2) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-7) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Jonesboro.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State is total points.

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Alabama
Arkansas State

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 72.3% confidence.

South Alabama vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 71.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and Arkansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best South Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Alabama players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Arkansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • South Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • South Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arkansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State

There are no Keys to the Game notes available for this game

Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Arkansas State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

Arkansas State is 1-14 (.062) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .404

Arkansas State is winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .447

Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama Skill Players have no touchdowns on 67 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

South Alabama RBs have averaged 4.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,401 yards / 575 touches) since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

South Alabama RBs have averaged 4.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,141 yards / 286 touches) in the 1st half since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

South Alabama RBs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

South Alabama WRs have caught 65 of 94 passes (69% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 56%

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas State RBs have been targeted 43 times on 3rd down since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State Skill Players have 45 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State TEs have 187 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State RBs have been targeted 37 times in the 1st quarter since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State RBs have 348 receiving yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama has allowed 4 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most in FBS

South Alabama’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs this season– 4th highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (47 completions/100 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 59%

South Alabama has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 192 carries (48 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.2

South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (47 completions/100 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas State has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

Arkansas State has not recorded a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

Arkansas State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 163 attempts (7%) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Arkansas State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 11 of 163 attempts (7%) this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 48 of their 709 carries (7%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 3%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.