- The LSU is a -22.5 point favorite vs. South Alabama
- The South Alabama vs. LSU Total(Over/Under): 65.5 points
- TV Channel: SECN
The South Alabama Jaguars (2-2) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.
LSU is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-105).
The South Alabama vs. LSU Over/Under is 65.5 total points.
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South Alabama vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Alabama | +22.5 -115 | 65.5 -115 | +800 |
| LSU | -22.5 -105 | 65.5 -105 | -1400 |
South Alabama vs LSU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 92.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Alabama and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Alabama vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on LSU vs South Alabama and all games with BetMGM
South Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- South Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.65 Units / 9% ROI)
LSU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- LSU have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Jamaal Pritchett has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Javon Ivory has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
- Braylon McReynolds has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -3.49% ROI).
- South Alabama is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -18.39% ROI
- South Alabama is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- South Alabama is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU is 0-4 against the spread this college football season (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).
- LSU is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 1.43% ROI
- LSU is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- LSU is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. LSU
South Alabama is winless (0-5) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .507
South Alabama is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .548
South Alabama is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .375
South Alabama is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
LSU: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama
LSU is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .445
LSU is 8-2 (.800) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .604
LSU is 12-3 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .597
LSU is 13-4 (.765) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Matchup Notes for South Alabama vs. LSU
LSU’s TEs has 28 receptions in 4 games (7.0 per game) this season — T-3rd-best among FBS TEs. South Alabama’s defense has allowed just 1.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
LSU’s QBs has thrown for 1,259 passing yards in 4 games (314.8 YPG) this season — 13th-best among FBS teams. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 271.8 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
LSU’s offense has thrown for 1,259 passing yards in 4 games (314.8 YPG) this season — 14th-best among FBS offenses. South Alabama’s defense has allowed 271.8 passing yards per game this season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fluff Bothwell (SAB) has averaged a TD every 6.2 carries this season — T-best of Qualified Running Back. LSU’s defense allowed a touchdown every just 15.5 carries this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama WRs have averaged 23.5 yards per reception (517 yards/22 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
South Alabama RBs have rushed for 10 TDs in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-most among FBS Teams
South Alabama RBs have averaged 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (539 yards / 59 touches) on 1st down this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
South Alabama RBs have averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (879 yards / 110 touches) this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
South Alabama WRs averaged 21.7 yards per reception (607 yards/28 catches) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.5
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends
LSU Skill Players have 28 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
LSU Skill Players have 28 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
LSU Skill Players have 28 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
LSU Skill Players have caught 56 touchdown passes since the 2023 season– most among SEC Teams
LSU WRs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends
South Alabama has allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 21%
South Alabama has allowed first downs on 6% of rush attempts in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22%
South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 11% (1 completions/9 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 11% (1 completions/9 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– best in FBS; Average: 56%
South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (8 completions/24 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 56%
LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (49 completions/68 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
LSU has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 25 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
LSU has allowed opponents to catch 49 of 67 passes (73% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
LSU has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 4 of 17 attempts (23%) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%
LSU has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0
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