- The Alabama Crimson Tide are a -12 point favorite vs. the South Carolina Gamecocks
- South Carolina vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
South Carolina (2-1) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on Alabama (3-0) on Sep. 26 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -12 (-108).
The South Carolina vs. Alabama Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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South Carolina vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Carolina | +12 -110 | 54.5 -125 | +380 |
| Alabama | -12 -108 | 54.5 -105 | -500 |
South Carolina vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 73.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Alabama Crimson Tide, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Carolina vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Carolina Best Bets Today
- South Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 3% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- South Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- South Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets Today
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Carolina Gamecocks is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).
- South Carolina is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -100% ROI
- South Carolina is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- South Carolina is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama Crimson Tide is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Alabama is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 5.31% ROI
- Alabama is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Alabama is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
South Carolina is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436
South Carolina was undefeated (7-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631
South Carolina is 3-8 (.273) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
South Carolina was 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina
Alabama is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .636
Alabama was 9-2 (.818) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .657
Alabama is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .680
Alabama is 7-1 (.875) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .625
Matchup Notes for South Carolina vs. Alabama
Alabama’s TEs was targeted 92 times last season — T-2nd-most among SEC TEs. South Carolina’s defense allowed 2,596 receiving yards last season — 5th-fewest among SEC defenses.
Alabama had 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. South Carolina’s defense allowed just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama had 32 receiving touchdowns last season — 5th-most among Power 5 skill players. South Carolina’s defense allowed 13 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-fewest among SEC defenses.
South Carolina’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.5% of 340 attempts last season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts last season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina gained 2,682 yards on 208 receptions (12.9 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
South Carolina’s WRs gained 2,022 yards on 134 receptions (15.1 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
South Carolina’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 11.5% of 340 attempts last season — T-34th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts last season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
South Carolina WRs had just one touchdown on 4 receptions in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
South Carolina gained 2,682 yards on 208 receptions (12.9 YPR) last season — T-29th-best among FBS skill players. Alabama’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — best among SEC defenses.
South Carolina have thrown 2 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every 10.5 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
South Carolina TEs have caught just 2 of 13 passes (15% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 64%
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama WRs averaged 29.0 yards per reception (348 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8
Alabama have thrown 7 TDs and no interceptions in the 4th quarter this season– T-2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 1.6
Alabama RBs have averaged 19.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (135 yards / 7 touches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.6
Alabama have thrown 6.4 Passing TDs per Interception (32 passing TDs/5 interceptions) this season– 5th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0
Alabama Skill Players averaged 21.9 yards per reception (636 yards/29 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.1
South Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends
South Carolina’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs last season– 2nd-highest in FBS; Average: 8%
South Carolina allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (9 completions/29 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 54%
South Carolina allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (9 completions/29 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
South Carolina’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 24% of PATs last season– highest in the SEC; Average: 8%
South Carolina opponents averaged 39.6 Passing Attempts per TD (396 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) last season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7
Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (2,369 yards/236 completions) last season– 2nd-best in the SEC; Average: 11.7
Alabama has forced 17 fumbles this season– 3rd-most in FBS
Alabama allowed 10 rushing TDs on 487 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2
Alabama has allowed first downs on 7% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 21%
Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 28 of 394 attempts (7%) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 9%
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