South Carolina vs Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Florida (5-4) are -8 point favorites vs South Carolina (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 59 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The South Carolina Gamecocks (7-4) visit Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on the Florida Gators (6-5) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Gainesville.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for South Carolina vs. Florida is total points.

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South Carolina vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Carolina
Florida

South Carolina vs Florida Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida will win this game with 65.4% confidence.

South Carolina vs Florida Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Carolina and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best South Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Carolina players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Rattler has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Spencer Rattler has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Spencer Rattler has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Antwane Wells Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Florida Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Anthony Richardson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Anthony Richardson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+13.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.70 Units / 13% ROI)

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Carolina is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 10.28% ROI
  • South Carolina is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • South Carolina is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -21.21% ROI
  • Florida is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Florida is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

South Carolina is 4-12 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

South Carolina is 8-2 (.800) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .493

South Carolina is 7-1 (.583) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

Florida is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Florida is 3-7 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

Florida is 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Florida is 10-5 (.667) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Matchup Notes for South Carolina vs. Florida

Florida has 115 receptions in 8 games (just 14.4 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among Power 5 skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game this season — best among SEC defenses.

Florida’s QBs has 1,582 rushing yards since the 2021 season — second-most among FBS teams. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 3,735 rushing yards since the 2021 season — second-most among SEC defenses.

Florida’s QBs has rushed for 1,582 yards on 249 carries (6.4 YPC) since the 2021 season — best among FBS teams. South Carolina’s defense have allowed 4.6 YPC since the 2021 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina Skill Players have no touchdowns on 17 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

South Carolina Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

South Carolina WRs have averaged just 4.5 yards per reception (9 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

South Carolina have gone for two on 19% of PATs this season– tied for 2nd highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 5%

South Carolina Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida RBs have averaged 8.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (75 yards / 9 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Florida WRs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (137 yards/6 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Florida QBs have rushed for 1,582 yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Florida Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.0 receptions (12 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Florida QBs have averaged 39.6 rushing yards per game (832/21) in the 2nd half since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (40 completions/95 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

South Carolina has allowed a passer rating of just 73.7 in close and late situations (95.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.8

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (40 completions/95 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– best in FBS; Average: 58%

South Carolina has allowed opponents to catch just 40 of 95 passes (42% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

South Carolina has allowed opponents to catch just 40 of 95 passes (42% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– best in FBS; Average: 58%

Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (19 completions/24 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Florida has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 8 of 41 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 9%

Florida has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 15 of 102 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Florida has allowed 2.0 touchdowns per interception (4 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.1

Florida has allowed first downs on 33% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.