South Carolina vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:27 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The South Carolina Gamecocks (4-2) visit Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Lexington.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for South Carolina vs. Kentucky is total points.

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South Carolina vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Carolina
Kentucky

South Carolina vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 65.7% confidence.

South Carolina vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Carolina and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best South Carolina Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Carolina players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Rattler has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Spencer Rattler has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Spencer Rattler has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Will Levis has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Will Levis has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+10.75 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Carolina is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • South Carolina is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • South Carolina is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kentucky is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kentucky is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

South Carolina is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .492

South Carolina is 3-12 (.158) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

#7 Kentucky is 8-2 (.615) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

#7 Kentucky is 6-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .498

#7 Kentucky is 8-3 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

#7 Kentucky is 6-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .436

Matchup Notes for South Carolina vs. Kentucky

South Carolina’s backfield has been targeted 36 times this season — fifth-most among FBS backfields. Kentucky’s defense has allowed 669 receiving yards this season — fourth-fewest among SEC defenses.

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina have gone for two on 33% of PATs this season– highest among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

South Carolina WRs have just one touchdown on 48 receptions this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.6

South Carolina RBs have been targeted 6 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

South Carolina have gone for two on 15% of PATs since last season– 2nd highest among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

South Carolina have gone for two on 15% of PATs since last season– 2nd highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

#13 Kentucky RBs have averaged 0.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (3 yards / 5 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 7.4

#13 Kentucky RBs have averaged 6.8 Yards per Carry (680 yards/100 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

#13 Kentucky RBs have averaged 7.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (778 yards / 110 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

#13 Kentucky have been sacked on 12% of pass attempts (14/115) this season– worst among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 6%

#13 Kentucky WRs have averaged 20.1 yards per reception (544 yards/27 catches) with 7-10 yards to go this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.6

South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 8% (1 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 8% (1 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

South Carolina has allowed opponents to catch just 1 of 13 passes (8% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (25 completions/70 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

South Carolina has allowed opponents to catch just 25 of 70 passes (36% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Kentucky Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Kentucky has not allowed any touchdowns on 60 completions this season– best in FBS; Average: 12.9

#13 Kentucky has allowed no passing TDs (119 pass attempts) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 26.7

#13 Kentucky has allowed no passing TDs (119 pass attempts) this season– best in FBS; Average: 21.5

#13 Kentucky has not allowed any touchdowns on 60 completions this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

#13 Kentucky has allowed a passer rating of just 11.8 in the Red Zone (5.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 164.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.