South Florida vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

JEFF MONKEN
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • Army Black Knights is a -3.5 point favorite vs. South Florida Bulls
  • South Florida vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

South Florida (1-0) visit Michie Stadium to take on Army (1-0) on Sep. 12 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Army Black Knights are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The South Florida vs. Army Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

Bet now on Army Black Knights vs South Florida Bulls & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

South Florida vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida+3.5 -10846.5 -105+150
Army -3.5 -11046.5 -112-185

South Florida vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 55.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the South Florida Bulls and the Army Black Knights, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

South Florida vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Army Black Knights vs South Florida Bulls and all games with BetMGM


  • South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+2.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida Bulls is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • South Florida is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 16.13% ROI
  • South Florida is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • South Florida is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army Black Knights is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Army is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Army is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Army is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Army

South Florida was 1-3 (.250) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

South Florida was 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-13th-best in FBS; Average: .604

South Florida was 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

South Florida was 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .624

Army: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida

Army was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .591

Army was undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Army was undefeated (11-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Army was 12-2 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526

Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Army

Army’s TEs had 4 receptions in 9 games (just 0.4 per game) last season — T-worst among FBS TEs. South Florida’s defense allowed 22.7 receptions per game last season — 5th-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Army gained 942 yards on 63 receptions (15.0 YPR) last season — 6th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception last season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s offense threw for 949 passing yards in 12 games (just 79.1 YPG) last season — worst among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 242.8 passing yards per game last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s QBs threw for 3,538 passing yards in 13 games (272.2 YPG) last season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Army’s defense allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game last season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 404 attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts last season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s WRs gained 3,037 yards on 212 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

South Florida’s QBs threw for 3,538 passing yards in 13 games (272.2 YPG) last season — 19th-best among FBS teams. Army’s defense allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game last season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 404 attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts last season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s WRs gained 3,037 yards on 212 receptions (14.3 YPR) last season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Army’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida gained 3,584 yards on 268 receptions (13.4 YPR) last season — T-18th-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception last season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

South Florida’s offense threw for 3,596 passing yards in 13 games (276.6 YPG) last season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Army’s defense allowed just 192.8 passing yards per game last season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players averaged just 4.7 receptions per game (66/14) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Army gained 40+ yards on 6 of their 63 receptions (10%) last season– 3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Army averaged just 5.2 receptions per game (63/12) last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.2

Army Skill Players averaged just 5.2 receptions per game (63/12) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.0

Army TEs averaged 25.3 yards per reception (76 yards/3 catches) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends

South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

South Florida tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 79 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

South Florida has not allowed a rushing touchdown in any of their last 28 drives — the SMU Mustangs have the longest active streak at 97.

South Florida sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-most in FBS

Army Defensive Stats & Trends

Army did not record a sack (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Army allowed 91.9 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.3

Army allowed 10 rushing TDs on 73 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Army tackled opponents for a loss on just 42 of 392 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Army had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 31.0


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