South Florida vs Cincinnati U Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:41 PM
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The South Florida Bulls (1-6) visit Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT in Cincinnati.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for South Florida vs. Cincinnati U is total points.

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South Florida vs. Cincinnati U Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida
Cincinnati U

South Florida vs Cincinnati U Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Cincinnati will win this game with 75.4% confidence.

South Florida vs Cincinnati U Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Cincinnati U, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerry Bohanon has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Florida are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • South Florida are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • South Florida are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Cincinnati U Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Cincinnati U has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Cincinnati U are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Cincinnati U are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Cincinnati U are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati U

South Florida is winless (0-7) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .492

South Florida is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

South Florida is winless (0-19) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .366

South Florida is winless (0-12) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .280

Cincinnati U: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida

Cincinnati is 8-1 (.889) when not losing a fumble since the 2020 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .505

Cincinnati is 14-3 (.824) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Cincinnati is 6-1 (.857) when not losing a fumble — 4th-best in FBS; Average: .500

Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Cincinnati U

Cincinnati’s backfield has rushed for 2,620 yards on 424 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS backfields. South Florida’s defense have allowed 6.3 YPC to RBs since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati’s backfield has rushed for 2,620 yards on 424 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS backfields. South Florida’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among FBS defenses.

Cincinnati’s backfield has rushed for 2,620 yards on 424 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS backfields. South Florida’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC since the 2021 season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

South Florida has 9 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-fewest among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 18 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

South Florida WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.7 receptions (187 Rec/7 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

South Florida Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 27.9 receptions (251 Rec/9 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

South Florida has 9 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — third-fewest among FBS skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 18 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

South Florida Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (23 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

South Florida have been sacked on just 2% of pass attempts (2/114) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 7%

Cincinnati U Offensive Stats & Trends

#24 Cincinnati TEs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

#24 Cincinnati RBs have averaged 7.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,870 yards / 251 touches) on 1st down since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

#24 Cincinnati TEs have caught 16 touchdown passes since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#24 Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.1 Yards per Carry (173 yards/19 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

#24 Cincinnati TEs have 24 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

South Florida has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (15/506) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 7%

South Florida has averaged a sack every 33.7 pass attempts (506 Pass Attempts/15 Sacks) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.3

South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (9 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

South Florida has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (15/506) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

South Florida has averaged a sack every 33.7 pass attempts (506 Pass Attempts/15 Sacks) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#24 Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts (18/100) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

#24 Cincinnati has sacked opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts (18/100) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#24 Cincinnati has sacked opponents 18 times this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

#24 Cincinnati has averaged 4.5 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

#24 Cincinnati has allowed a passer rating of just 106.4 (508.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.