- South Florida is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Memphis
- South Florida vs. Memphis Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
South Florida (6-1) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on Memphis (6-1) on Oct. 25 in Memphis, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The South Florida vs. Memphis Over/Under is 62.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | -5.5 -105 | 62.5 -110 | -210 |
| Memphis | +5.5 -115 | 62.5 -110 | 170 |
South Florida vs Memphis Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 60.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Memphis, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Memphis Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets Today
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Memphis Best Bets Today
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+7.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 50.65% ROI).
- South Florida is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 10.42% ROI
- South Florida is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- South Florida is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis iss 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).
- Memphis is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -11.48% ROI
- Memphis is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -45.1% ROI
- Memphis is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.13% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis
Memphis RBs have averaged 12.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (228 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Memphis Skill Players have averaged 27.3 yards per reception (191 yards/7 catches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Memphis WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (24 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Memphis RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (417 yards / 45 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Memphis has 436 receptions in 20 games (21.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida have thrown for 7 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 25.2 targets per game since the 2024 season — 15th-highest among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Memphis
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida have thrown for 7 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 25.2 targets per game since the 2024 season — 15th-highest among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis RBs have averaged 12.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (228 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Memphis Skill Players have averaged 27.3 yards per reception (191 yards/7 catches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Memphis WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (24 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Memphis RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (417 yards / 45 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Memphis has 436 receptions in 20 games (21.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
Memphis RBs have averaged 12.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (228 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Memphis Skill Players have averaged 27.3 yards per reception (191 yards/7 catches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Memphis WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (24 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Memphis RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (417 yards / 45 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Memphis has 436 receptions in 20 games (21.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida have thrown for 7 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 25.2 targets per game since the 2024 season — 15th-highest among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
Memphis RBs have averaged 12.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (228 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7
Memphis Skill Players have averaged 27.3 yards per reception (191 yards/7 catches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Memphis WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.8 receptions (24 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Memphis RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (417 yards / 45 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Memphis has 436 receptions in 20 games (21.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 33rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 23.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs has 302 receptions in 20 games (15.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 24th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has 2.6 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida have thrown for 7 TDs in the 3rd quarter this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has averaged 25.2 targets per game since the 2024 season — 15th-highest among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 13.6 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.
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