- North Texas is a -1.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- South Florida vs. North Texas Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
South Florida (4-1) visit DATCU Stadium to take on North Texas (5-0) on Oct. 10 in Denton, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
North Texas is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The South Florida vs. North Texas Over/Under is 66.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. North Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +1.5 -125 | 66.5 -110 | -110 |
| North Texas | -1.5 -105 | 66.5 -110 | -110 |
South Florida vs North Texas Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 50.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and North Texas, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs North Texas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets Today
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+9.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
North Texas Best Bets Today
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.74 Units / 18% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- South Florida is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 9.68% ROI
- South Florida is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- South Florida is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).
- North Texas is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 12.02% ROI
- North Texas is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- North Texas is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. North Texas
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs have 203.6 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 92.6 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida rushed for 407 yards last week– most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas have not been intercepted (163 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 42.9
North Texas has 459 receptions in 18 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas WRs averaged 20.9 receptions per game (272/13) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. North Texas
North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas have not been intercepted (163 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 42.9
North Texas has 459 receptions in 18 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas WRs averaged 20.9 receptions per game (272/13) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs have 203.6 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 92.6 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida rushed for 407 yards last week– most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs have 203.6 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 92.6 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida rushed for 407 yards last week– most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas have not been intercepted (163 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 42.9
North Texas has 459 receptions in 18 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas WRs averaged 20.9 receptions per game (272/13) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s WRs has averaged just 12.2 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s WRs have 203.6 receiving yards per game this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 92.6 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 9th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida rushed for 407 yards last week– most among FBS Offenses
South Florida’s WRs has 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS WRs. North Texas’s defense has allowed just 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs fumbled 9 times last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends
North Texas WRs had 18 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter last season– most among FBS Teams
North Texas WRs had 40 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-most among FBS Teams
North Texas have not been intercepted (163 pass attempts) this season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 42.9
North Texas has 459 receptions in 18 games (25.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 21.8 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
North Texas WRs averaged 20.9 receptions per game (272/13) last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3
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