- South Florida is a -5 point favorite vs. Rice
- South Florida vs. Rice Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
The South Florida Bulls (6-5) visit Rice Stadium to take on the Rice Owls (3-8) on Nov. 30 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST.
South Florida is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).
The South Florida vs. Rice Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | -5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -210 |
| Rice | +5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +175 |
South Florida vs Rice Prediction:
The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this game with 62.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Rice, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Rice Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Rice Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Rice has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today
- Sean Atkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Rice players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rice Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Matt Sykes has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kobie Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- South Florida is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- South Florida is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
- South Florida is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rice is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI).
- Rice is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -51.32% ROI
- Rice is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- Rice is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Rice
South Florida is 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-13th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .522
South Florida is 13-5 (.722) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .582
South Florida is 6-1 (.857) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-5th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .564
South Florida is undefeated (6-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584
Rice: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Rice is winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
Rice is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Rice is 4-6 (.400) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .684
Rice is 4-15 (.211) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Rice
Rice has averaged just 9.1 yards after the catch this season — T-worst among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 13.2 RAC this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Rice’s RBs have 48.6 receiving yards per game this season — 7th-best among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 264.9 receiving yards per game this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Rice’s RBs have 48.6 receiving yards per game this season — 7th-best among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 30.0 receiving yards per game to RBs this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 362 attempts this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s RBs have 33.1 receiving yards per game this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Rice’s defense has allowed just 160.5 receiving yards per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Bryce Archie (USF) has thrown for 1,452 passing yards in 10 games (145.2 YPG) this season — 8th-worst of Qualified Quarterbacks. Rice’s defense has allowed just 160.5 passing yards per game this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 362 attempts this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.1% of attempts this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (569 yards/80 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-8th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2
South Florida WRs have averaged a touchdown every 22.4 receptions (157 Rec/7 TDs) this season– 7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
South Florida TEs had 79 receiving yards on 3rd down last week– most among FBS Teams
South Florida rushed for 5 TDs last week– T-2nd-most among FBS Offenses
Rice Offensive Stats & Trends
Rice RBs have been targeted 9.2 times per game (101/11) this season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
Rice Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6
Rice RBs have been targeted 8.0 times per game (191/24) since the 2023 season– 2nd-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.2
Rice RBs have been targeted 16 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Rice RBs have averaged 7.2 receptions per game (79/11) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 67 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 134 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
South Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 134 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
South Florida has allowed 104 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed first downs on 59% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 30%
Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends
Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (30/283) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Opponents have averaged just 14.2 completions per game (156 / 11) against Rice this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 18.5
Rice has allowed a Completion Pct of just 55% (156 completions/283 attempts) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%
Rice has allowed 160.5 Passing Yards per game (1,766/11) this season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 218.4
Rice has allowed first downs on 77% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 51%
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