- The Tulane is a -5.5 point favorite vs. South Florida
- The South Florida vs. Tulane Total(Over/Under): 64.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The South Florida Bulls (2-2) visit Benson Field at Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (2-2) on Sep. 28 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).
The South Florida vs. Tulane Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
South Florida | +5.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 | +165 |
Tulane | -5.5 -105 | 64.5 -105 | -200 |
South Florida vs Tulane Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 67.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Tulane, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
South Florida vs Tulane Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tulane will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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South Florida Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Tulane Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tulane has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today
- Sean Atkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nay’Quan Wright has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Byrum Brown has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Byrum Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Byrum Brown has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tulane Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Makhi Hughes has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane
South Florida is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .633
South Florida is 1-4 (.200) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .547
South Florida is 3-6 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .487
South Florida is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .548
Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Tulane is 7-1 (.875) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Tulane is 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .445
Tulane is 12-2 (.857) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .685
Tulane is 12-1 (.923) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Tulane
Tulane has gained 824 yards on 57 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Mario Williams (TUL) has gained 312 yards on 18 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — 6th-best of Qualified Skill Players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida has gained 759 yards on 75 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida has gained 759 yards on 75 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida WRs had no touchdowns on 19 receptions last week– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.2
South Florida Skill Players had no touchdowns on 25 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0
South Florida QBs have rushed for 6 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-4th-most among FBS Teams
South Florida QBs have rushed for 428 yards in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends
Tulane WRs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions this season– 10th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4
Tulane TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Tulane has gained 824 yards on 57 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. South Florida’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.
Tulane RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 91 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.7
Tulane RBs have averaged 6.3 Yards per Carry (176 yards/28 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-32nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida defense has allowed 76 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (35 completions/49 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 53%
South Florida has allowed 4,876 Passing Yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-most in FBS
South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (35 completions/49 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%
South Florida did not record a sack (34 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.4
Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 7 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 7 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Tulane has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 36 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Tulane has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
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