South Florida vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2022, 5:33 PM
  • Tulsa (3-7) are -13 point favorites vs South Florida (1-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 58 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The South Florida Bulls (1-10) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-7) on Nov. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Tulsa.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for South Florida vs. Tulsa is total points.

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South Florida vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida
Tulsa

South Florida vs Tulsa Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tulsa will win this game with 69.9% confidence.

South Florida vs Tulsa Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 74.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Tulsa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerry Bohanon has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+7.75 Units / 145% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)

South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Florida has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Florida is 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -100% ROI
  • South Florida is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • South Florida is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tulsa is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -43.95% ROI
  • Tulsa is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Tulsa is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

South Florida is winless (0-18) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — worst in FBS; Average: .451

South Florida is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493

South Florida is winless (0-16) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .424

South Florida is winless (0-15) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — worst in FBS; Average: .421

Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Tulsa

Tulsa’s offense has given up40 sacks this season — third-most among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense has sacked the quarterback 12 times this season — tied for second-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Tulsa’s RBs has 10 receptions in 9 games (just 1.1 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS RBs. South Florida’s defense has allowed 23.6 receptions per game this season — third-worst among NonP5 defenses.

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

South Florida RBs have no touchdowns on 53 receptions since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.9

South Florida Skill Players have caught just 9 of 21 passes (43% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61%

South Florida Skill Players have just one touchdown on 41 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

South Florida Skill Players have averaged just 3.9 yards per target (82 yards/21 targets) in close and late situations this season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0

South Florida QBs have averaged 6.8 Yards per Carry (219 yards/32 carries) in the 1st half this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 2.8

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Tulsa WRs have 23 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Tulsa have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (40/311) this season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Tulsa Skill Players have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

South Florida has allowed a passer rating of 168.0 (290.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 130.7

South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 73% (213 completions/290 attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

South Florida has averaged a sack every 31.8 pass attempts (668 Pass Attempts/21 Sacks) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.1

South Florida has allowed opponents to catch 212 of 289 passes (73% Reception Pct) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%

South Florida has allowed a Completion Pct of 84% (27 completions/32 attempts) in close and late situations this season– worst in FBS; Average: 57%

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 47 carries (6%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 17%

Tulsa has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 47 carries (6%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18%

Tulsa has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go this season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Tulsa has allowed opponents to catch just 21 of 48 passes (44% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 57%

Tulsa has allowed 43.7 carries per game (393 carries / 9 games) this season– 3rd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.