- Western Kentucky is a -11.5 point favorite vs South Florida
- Total (Over/Under): 70.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS Sports Network
The South Florida Bulls visit Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Bowling Green.
– is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().
The South Florida vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is total points.
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs South Florida & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
South Florida vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | |||
| Western Kentucky |
South Florida vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this game with 81.5% confidence.
South Florida vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 80.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both South Florida and Western Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs South Florida and all games with BetMGM
Best South Florida Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for South Florida players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerry Bohanon has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gerry Bohanon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Western Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Western Kentucky players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Malachi Corley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
South Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Florida went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- South Florida went 0-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -100% ROI
- South Florida went 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- South Florida went 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Western Kentucky went 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -6.52% ROI
- Western Kentucky went 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Western Kentucky went 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
South Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Western Kentucky
South Florida is winless (0-18) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .451
South Florida is winless (0-19) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
South Florida is winless (0-8) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .494
South Florida is winless (0-13) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: .380
Western Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. South Florida
Western Kentucky is 14-3 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .545
Western Kentucky is winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .288
Western Kentucky was 9-3 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .512
Western Kentucky is 14-2 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .621
Matchup Notes for South Florida vs. Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky’s QBs has thrown for 10,887 passing yards in 27 games (403.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — best among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense has allowed 278.0 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s QBs threw for 4,715 passing yards in 13 games (362.7 YPG) in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS teams. South Florida’s defense allowed 287.5 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Western Kentucky’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 585 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS offenses. South Florida’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.8% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 4,604 passing yards in 24 games (just 191.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s QBs has thrown for 4,843 passing yards in 24 games (just 201.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida had 187 receptions in 12 games (just 15.6 per game) in the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 22.8 receptions per game in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among NonP5 defenses.
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends
South Florida’s offense has thrown for 4,604 passing yards in 24 games (just 191.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida’s QBs has thrown for 4,843 passing yards in 24 games (just 201.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed 270.2 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.
South Florida had 187 receptions in 12 games (just 15.6 per game) in the 2022 season — 26th-worst among FBS skill players. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 22.8 receptions per game in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among NonP5 defenses.
South Florida RBs had no touchdowns on 33 receptions in the 2022 season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8
South Florida RBs have no touchdowns on 58 receptions since the 2021 season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.2
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky Skill Players have 167 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky has averaged 396.5 Passing Yards per game (10,706/27) since the 2021 season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 234.0*
Western Kentucky WRs averaged 24.2 receptions per game (314/13) in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1
Western Kentucky WRs have 146 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams
Western Kentucky WRs have 83 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams
South Florida Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends
South Florida allowed opponents to catch 275 of 374 passes (73% Reception Pct) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 60%
South Florida allowed a Completion Pct of 74% (276 completions/375 attempts) in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%
South Florida allowed a Completion Pct of 85% (44 completions/52 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%
South Florida has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (23/753) since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
South Florida allowed 63 TDs in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.1
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Defensive Stats & Trends
Western Kentucky has 38 interceptions since the 2021 season– 2nd-most in FBS
Western Kentucky has allowed 325 first down receptions since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Western Kentucky has averaged 1.41 interceptions per game (38/27) since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.83
Western Kentucky has averaged 1.41 interceptions per game (38/27) since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.81
Western Kentucky allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 33 of 477 attempts (7%) in the 2022 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%
Bet now on Western Kentucky vs South Florida and all games with BetMGM
College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on national championship odds and Heisman Trophy odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
