Southern Miss vs Coastal Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Coastal Carolina (8-1) are -5.5 point favorites vs Southern Miss (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-8) visit Brooks Stadium to take on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (9-1) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Conway.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Southern Miss vs. Coastal Carolina is total points.

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Southern Miss vs. Coastal Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Miss
Coastal Carolina

Southern Miss vs Coastal Carolina Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Coastal Carolina will win this game with 57% confidence.

Southern Miss vs Coastal Carolina Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Coastal Carolina will cover the spread with 54% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and Coastal Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+9.60 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.72 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Coastal Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.72 Units / 16% ROI)

Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Miss is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 39.88% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Southern Miss is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Coastal Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Coastal Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Coastal Carolina is 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 16.39% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Coastal Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Southern Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Coastal Carolina

Southern Miss is 2-13 (.133) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Southern Miss is 1-7 (.125) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Southern Miss is 1-12 (.077) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Southern Miss is 1-6 (.143) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .493

Coastal Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Miss

Coastal Carolina is undefeated (13-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for best in FBS; Average: .562

Coastal Carolina is undefeated (15-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .552

Coastal Carolina is undefeated (15-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .544

Coastal Carolina is 10-1 (.833) when not losing a fumble — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .507

Southern Miss have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (23/118) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss have been sacked on 20% of pass attempts (23/118) in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 8%

Southern Miss RBs have averaged 3.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,005 yards / 255 touches) on 1st down since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Southern Miss Skill Players have fumbled 6 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Southern Miss have been sacked on 13% of pass attempts (64/501) since last season– 4th worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Coastal Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina WRs have averaged 20.8 yards per reception (354 yards/17 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Coastal Carolina RBs have averaged 6.3 Yards per Carry (3,501 yards/555 carries) since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Coastal Carolina RBs have averaged 7.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,168 yards / 168 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have averaged 11.2 yards per target (1,309 yards/117 targets) on 3rd down since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.2

Coastal Carolina Skill Players have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has 11 interceptions this season– 5th most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Southern Miss has not recorded a sack (26 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

Southern Miss has allowed first downs on 27% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%

Southern Miss has intercepted 22 of 585 attempts (26.6 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.3

Southern Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of 64% (37 completions/58 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Defensive Stats & Trends

Coastal Carolina has allowed 40 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for 3rd fewest in FBS

Coastal Carolina has allowed 10.7 Yards per Attempt (952 yards/89 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 7.8

Coastal Carolina has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Coastal Carolina has allowed 10.7 Yards per Attempt (952 yards/89 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.9

Coastal Carolina defense has allowed 40 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for fewest among Non-Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.