- Florida State is a -31 point favorite vs. Southern Miss
- Total (Over/Under): 53 points
- Watch the game on ACC Network
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles visit Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Tallahassee.
Florida State is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -31 (-110).
The Southern Miss vs. Florida State Over/Under is 53 total points.
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Southern Miss vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Southern Miss | +31 -110 | 53 -110 | +2000 |
| Florida State | -31 -110 | 53 -110 | -10000 |
Southern Miss vs Florida State Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 95% confidence.
Southern Miss vs Florida State Spread Prediction for Week 2
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Mississippi will cover the spread with 63.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and Florida State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Southern Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)
Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Florida State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jordan Travis has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jordan Travis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Johnny Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trey Benson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Southern Miss is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Southern Miss is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 32.72% ROI
- Southern Miss is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Southern Miss is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida State is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Florida State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 105% ROI
- Florida State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Florida State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Southern Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State
There are no Keys to the Game notes available for this game
Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Miss
#8 Florida State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .561
#8 Florida State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .414
#8 Florida State was 6-1 (.750) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .448
Matchup Notes for Southern Miss vs. Florida State
Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 731 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS offenses. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 394 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best among FBS offenses. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.2% of attempts in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s RBs averaged 9.9 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 9.7 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s offense has thrown for 4,740 passing yards in 26 games (just 182.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 213.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s QBs has thrown for 4,783 passing yards in 26 games (just 184.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 213.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s WRs gained 1,959 yards on 117 receptions (16.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Florida State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends
Southern Miss’s offense has thrown for 4,740 passing yards in 26 games (just 182.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 213.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s QBs has thrown for 4,783 passing yards in 26 games (just 184.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — 14th-worst among FBS teams. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 213.6 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s WRs gained 1,959 yards on 117 receptions (16.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — sixth-best among FBS WRs. Florida State’s defense allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s RBs averaged 9.3 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 28th-best among FBS RBs. Florida State’s defense allowed just 6.1 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Southern Miss’s QBs threw for 2,705 passing yards in 13 games (just 208.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS teams. Florida State’s defense allowed just 183.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — sixth-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends
Florida State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 731 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS offenses. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.9% of attempts since the 2021 season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 15.2% of 394 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best among FBS offenses. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.2% of attempts in the 2022 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s RBs averaged 9.9 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 22nd-best among FBS RBs. Southern Miss’s defense allowed 9.7 RAC to RBs in the 2022 season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
#8 Florida State RBs have averaged 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (162 yards / 15 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since the 2021 season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
#8 Florida State QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Southern Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (5 completions/14 attempts) this season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Southern Miss has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 29 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Southern Miss allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Southern Miss allowed 7 TD passes in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for most in FBS
Opponents have averaged just 5.0 completions per game (5 / 1) against Southern Miss this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 18.8
Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends
#8 Florida State allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 61%
#8 Florida State allowed just 168.3 receiving yards per game (1,683/10) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 223.7
#8 Florida State averaged a sack every 9.6 pass attempts (278 Pass Attempts/29 Sacks) in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7
#8 Florida State allowed 125.5 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs in the 2022 season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 166.6
#8 Florida State allowed 2.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (246 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7
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