Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:31 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-3) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Troy.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Southern Miss vs. Troy is total points.

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Southern Miss vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Miss
Troy

Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 56.9% confidence.

Southern Miss vs Troy Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Southern Miss and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+8.70 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.57 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Southern Mississippi has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.96 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Southern Miss has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Southern Miss is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Southern Miss is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Southern Miss is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Troy is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Troy is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Troy is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Southern Miss: Keys to the Game vs. Troy

Southern Miss is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .280

Southern Miss is 1-10 (.091) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Southern Miss is winless (0-7) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .440

Southern Miss is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .356

Troy: Keys to the Game vs. Southern Miss

Troy is 2-14 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .366

Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss WRs have averaged 22.4 yards per reception (605 yards/27 catches) this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

Southern Miss Skill Players have averaged 19.2 yards per reception (710 yards/37 catches) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.0

Southern Miss Skill Players have averaged 30.3 yards per reception (91 yards/3 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Southern Miss have been sacked on 25% of pass attempts (20/79) in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 7%

Southern Miss have been sacked on 33% of pass attempts (3/9) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 7%

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends

Troy RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (337 yards/101 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Troy Skill Players have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Troy WRs have been targeted 21 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Troy Skill Players have averaged just 9.3 yards per reception (512 yards/55 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Troy WRs have averaged 11.2 receptions per game (45/4) in the 2nd half this season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.9

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Southern Miss has forced one fumble on 125 carries this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 40.0

Southern Miss has allowed first downs on 42% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22%

Southern Miss has allowed first downs on 42% of rush attempts in close and late situations this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 21%

Southern Miss has no interceptions and 10 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

Southern Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (31 completions/64 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 57%

Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

Troy’s opponents has attempted 41.8 passes per game this season– 2nd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 30.6

Troy has intercepted 20 of 472 attempts (23.6 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.2

Troy has allowed 56 first down receptions this season– 5th most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Troy has forced 8 fumbles on 633 carries (79.1 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.7

Troy has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (47/472) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.