Stanford vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • California (3-7) are -4.5 point favorites vs Stanford (3-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points

The Stanford Cardinal (3-8) visit FTX Field at California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (4-7) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Berkeley.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Stanford vs. California is total points.

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Stanford vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford
California

Stanford vs California Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts California will win this game with 55.7% confidence.

Stanford vs California Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and California, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Elijah Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Tanner McKee has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Brycen Tremayne has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tanner McKee has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jack Plummer has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 away games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • California have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Stanford is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -8.95% ROI
  • Stanford is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
  • Stanford is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • California is 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -37.4% ROI
  • California is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI
  • California is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. California

Stanford is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .388

Stanford is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .436

Stanford is 2-15 (.118) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Stanford is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .396

California: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

California is 2-11 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367

California is 1-8 (.111) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

California is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .302

California is 2-13 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .381

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford WRs have no touchdowns on 23 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4

Stanford RBs have fumbled 7 times this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Stanford WRs have no touchdowns on 23 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.7

Stanford Skill Players have fumbled 12 times this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Stanford WRs have caught just 4 of 15 passes (27% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California WRs have caught 5 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

California WRs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

California RBs have been targeted 48 times in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

California Skill Players have been targeted 105 times in the 4th quarter this season– 5th most among FBS Teams

California RBs have been targeted 4.0 times per game (84/21) in the 2nd half since last season– 5th highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has allowed 6.1 Yards per Carry (2,060 yards/339 carries) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.0

Stanford has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 70 of 339 carries (21%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 13%

Stanford has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 70 of 339 carries (21%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

Stanford has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 155 of 831 carries (19%) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 13%

Stanford has allowed 231.8 rushing yards per game (4,868/21) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 153.5

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has not recorded a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.9

California has averaged a sack every 30.3 pass attempts (333 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

California has allowed 51.6 receiving yards per game (464/9) to RBs this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/333) this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

California has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/333) this season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 7%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.