Stanford vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 3

A Duke helmet sits on a table on the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Florida State, Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in Tallahassee, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)
(AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)
Sportsbook Promos This Week
  • The Duke Blue Devils are a -9.5 point favorite vs. the Stanford Cardinal
  • Stanford vs. Duke Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

Stanford (1-1) visit Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium to take on Duke (2-0) on Sep. 19 in Durham, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 pm.

The Duke Blue Devils are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-112).

The Stanford vs. Duke Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Duke Blue Devils vs Stanford Cardinal & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Stanford vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+9.5 -10550.5 -105+300
Duke -9.5 -11250.5 -115-375

Stanford vs Duke Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Stanford Cardinal and the Duke Blue Devils, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 65.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Duke Blue Devils vs Stanford Cardinal and all games with BetMGM


  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+3.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Duke have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford Cardinal is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Stanford is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Stanford is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Stanford is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke Blue Devils is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Duke is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 62.5% ROI
  • Duke is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Duke is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Duke

Stanford was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Stanford was 1-6 (.143) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .581

Stanford was winless (0-6) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .459

Stanford was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Duke: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Duke was 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Duke was 8-4 (.667) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Duke was 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Duke was 4-3 (.571) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Duke

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Duke’s offense threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among P5 defenses.

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford’s TEs had 60 receptions in 12 games (5.0 per game) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense allowed 22.2 receptions per game last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs gained 693 yards on 60 receptions (11.6 YPR) last season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford’s TEs had 60 receptions in 12 games (5.0 per game) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense allowed 22.2 receptions per game last season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford RBs did not rush for 0a TD on 25 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Stanford QBs averaged just -6.9 Yards per Carry (-179 yards/26 carries) in the 1st half last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.1

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Duke threw 6 interceptions on 506 attempts (1 INT per 84.3 attempts) last season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 40.1

Duke’s offense threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among P5 defenses.

Duke’s QBs threw for 3,995 passing yards in 14 games (285.4 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense allowed 288.9 passing yards per game last season — worst among FBS defenses.

Duke’s TEs gained 677 yards on 57 receptions (11.9 YPR) last season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Stanford’s defense allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Stanford intercepted 3 of 445 attempts (148.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 38.5

Stanford allowed 7.3 touchdowns per interception (22 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Stanford intercepted 3 of 445 attempts (148.3 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.8

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends

Duke had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 31.0

Duke allowed 3,875 Passing Yards last season– most in FBS

Duke allowed 57 receptions for 20+ yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Duke allowed 3,875 Passing Yards last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Duke had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.3


Bet now on Duke Blue Devils vs Stanford Cardinal and all games with BetMGM


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