Stanford vs San Jose St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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San Jose State wide receiver Nick Nash (3) runs during an NCAA football game against Southern California on Saturday, Aug. 26, 2023, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
(AP Photo/Kyusung Gong)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:16 PM
  • San Jose St is a -3 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • Stanford vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS

The Stanford Cardinal (3-8) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans (6-5) on Nov. 29 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

San Jose St is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Stanford vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on San Jose St vs Stanford & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Stanford vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+3 -11555.5 -110+125
San Jose State -3 -10555.5 -110-145

Stanford vs San Jose State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts San Jose State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and San Jose St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on San Jose St vs Stanford and all games with BetMGM


  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • San Jose State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • San Jose State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

  • Sam Roush has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Ismael Cisse has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ashton Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 65% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for San Jose State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best San Jose State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Nick Nash has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Justin Lockhart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -21.58% ROI).

  • Stanford is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 40% ROI
  • Stanford is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Stanford is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Jose St is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.55 Units / -12.81% ROI).

  • San Jose State is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 5.6% ROI
  • San Jose State is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • San Jose State is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State

Stanford is 2-17 (.105) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527

Stanford is 2-17 (.105) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .482

Stanford is 1-5 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .597

Stanford is 2-12 (.143) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565

San Jose State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .312

San Jose State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .354

San Jose State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .619

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. San Jose State

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 443 attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.0% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 3,525 passing yards in 11 games (320.5 YPG) this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 271.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

San Jose State’s QBs has thrown for 3,483 passing yards in 11 games (316.6 YPG) this season — 8th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 271.1 passing yards per game this season — 8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s TEs has gained 850 yards on 82 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford has gained 4,839 yards on 432 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s WRs have just 137.2 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 182.1 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford’s TEs has gained 850 yards on 82 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-35th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford has gained 4,839 yards on 432 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst among ACC skill players. San Jose State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 21 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Stanford’s WRs have just 137.2 receiving yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among ACC WRs. San Jose State’s defense has allowed 182.1 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Stanford RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 173 carries (inf Carries Per TD) this season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.1

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State RBs have averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (980 yards/138 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 443 attempts this season — 23rd-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.0% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

San Jose State Skill Players caught just 4 of 22 passes(18% Reception Pct) last week– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%

San Jose State WRs have 51 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

San Jose State’s offense has thrown for 3,525 passing yards in 11 games (320.5 YPG) this season — 6th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense has allowed 271.1 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 30 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) last week– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Stanford has allowed 285.1 Passing Yards per game (6,558/23) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 219.8

Stanford tackled opponents for a loss on 13 of 30 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) last week– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Stanford has allowed 33 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Stanford has allowed 59 TD passes since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

San Jose State Spartans Defensive Stats & Trends

San Jose State has not allowed an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 18 carries on 3rd and long this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%

San Jose State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 63 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

San Jose State has 17 interceptions this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

San Jose State has intercepted 17 of 359 attempts (21.1 pass attempts per int.) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.2

San Jose State has tackled opponents for a loss on just 14 of 153 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.