Stanford vs SMU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

SMU head coach Rhett Lashlee runs out with his team before an NCAA college game against TCU on Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022, in Dallas, Texas. (AP Photo/Gareth Patterson)
(AP Photo/Gareth Patterson)
  • SMU is a -19.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • Stanford vs. SMU Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

Stanford (2-3) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on SMU (3-2) on Oct. 11 in Dallas, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

SMU is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Stanford vs. SMU Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+19.5 -11055.5 -110650
SMU -19.5 -11055.5 -110-1000

Stanford vs SMU Prediction:

The winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 77.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and SMU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs SMU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • Stanford is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 41.82% ROI
  • Stanford is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Stanford is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

SMU iss 0-5 against the spread this college football season (-5.5 Units / -100% ROI).

  • SMU is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -0.99% ROI
  • SMU is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
  • SMU is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. SMU

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .429

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

SMU: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 160.1

SMU has allowed 267.6 receiving yards per game (1,338/5) to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 154.9

SMU defense has allowed 27 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS

SMU has allowed 323.4 Passing Yards per game (1,617/5) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 207.9

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.9

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. SMU

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 160.1

SMU has allowed 267.6 receiving yards per game (1,338/5) to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 154.9

SMU defense has allowed 27 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS

SMU has allowed 323.4 Passing Yards per game (1,617/5) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 207.9

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.9

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .429

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .429

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 160.1

SMU has allowed 267.6 receiving yards per game (1,338/5) to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 154.9

SMU defense has allowed 27 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS

SMU has allowed 323.4 Passing Yards per game (1,617/5) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 207.9

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.9

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU was 4-1 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .429

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .624

SMU was 11-1 (.917) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

SMU was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 160.1

SMU has allowed 267.6 receiving yards per game (1,338/5) to WRs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 154.9

SMU defense has allowed 27 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 2nd-most in FBS

SMU has allowed 323.4 Passing Yards per game (1,617/5) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 207.9

SMU has allowed 273.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 153.9


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