Stanford vs Syracuse Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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Syracuse running back LeQuint Allen (1) rushes against Georgia Tech during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Hakim Wright Sr.)
(AP Photo/Hakim Wright Sr.)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 18, 2024, 12:39 PM
  • Syracuse is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • Stanford vs. Syracuse Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Stanford Cardinal (1-1) visit JMA Wireless Dome to take on the Syracuse Orange (2-0) on Sep. 20 in Syracuse, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Syracuse is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Stanford vs. Syracuse Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Stanford vs. Syracuse Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+8.5 -10557.5 -110+260
Syracuse -8.5 -11557.5 -110-350

Stanford vs Syracuse Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Syracuse will win this game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and Syracuse, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Stanford vs Syracuse Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Syracuse will cover the spread with 74.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Stanford is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Stanford is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • Stanford is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 23.08% ROI
  • Syracuse is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Syracuse is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Stanford is 1-9 (.100) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .430

Stanford is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .446

Stanford is 1-5 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .325

Stanford is 3-7 (.250) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Syracuse is 1-5 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .346

Syracuse is 7-1 (.778) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .613

Syracuse is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .374

Syracuse is 7-2 (.700) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. Syracuse

Syracuse’s QBs has thrown for 735 passing yards in 2 games (367.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 278.5 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s QBs has thrown for 2,786 passing yards in 15 games (just 185.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 295.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s QBs has thrown for 2,786 passing yards in 15 games (just 185.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 295.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among ACC defenses.

Stanford has gained 3,279 yards on 278 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford has gained 3,279 yards on 278 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s WRs has gained 294 yards on 29 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has gained 3,279 yards on 278 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford has gained 3,279 yards on 278 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s WRs has gained 294 yards on 29 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-8th-worst among FBS WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford RBs have averaged 11.7 carries per game (164 carries / 14 games) since the 2023 season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 25.0

Stanford’s WRs has gained 294 yards on 29 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — T-worst among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse’s QBs has thrown for 735 passing yards in 2 games (367.5 YPG) this season — 3rd-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 278.5 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s QBs has thrown for 2,786 passing yards in 15 games (just 185.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 295.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse TEs have been targeted 11.5 times per game (23/2) this season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2

Syracuse’s QBs has thrown for 2,786 passing yards in 15 games (just 185.7 YPG) since the 2023 season — 22nd-worst among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 295.2 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among ACC defenses.

Syracuse’s TEs has 14 receptions in 2 games (7.0 per game) this season — T-5th-best among FBS TEs. Stanford’s defense has allowed 24.5 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among P5 defenses.

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 54 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%.

Stanford has allowed 4.0 touchdowns per interception (56 TDs allowed, and 14 INT) since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Stanford has allowed 3.9 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 9 INT) since the 2023 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Stanford has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (44 completions/63 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Stanford forced 3 fumbles on 420 carries (140.0 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.1

Syracuse Orange Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 59 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Syracuse has allowed a Completion Pct of 83% (5 completions/6 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Syracuse has allowed 169.0 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 75.5

Syracuse has allowed 169.0 yards from scrimmage per game in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 81.6

Syracuse has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (10 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: 62%


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