Stanford vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

min read
Southern California quarterback Caleb Williams smiles after USC defeated Notre Dame 38-27 an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022, in Los Angeles.
(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 2:56 PM
  • USC is a -29.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
  • Total (Over/Under): 69.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Stanford Cardinal visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Los Angeles.

USC is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -29.5 (-110).

The Stanford vs. USC Over/Under is 69.5 total points.

Bet now on USC vs Stanford & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Stanford vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Stanford+29.5 -11069.5 -105+2000
USC -29.5 -11069.5 -115-10000

Stanford vs USC Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Stanford vs USC Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 73.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Stanford and USC, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on USC vs Stanford and all games with BetMGM


  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+6.45 Units / 161% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.30 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 63% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Best Stanford Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Stanford players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Benjamin Yurosek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Casey Filkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Casey Filkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 21% ROI)

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Austin Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+2.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tahj Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Austin Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 24% ROI)

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Stanford is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 74.07% ROI
  • Stanford is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Stanford is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • USC is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 9.03% ROI
  • USC is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • USC is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. USC

Stanford is 1-18 (.053) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

Stanford is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .439

Stanford is winless (0-10) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .390

Stanford is 3-16 (.136) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .322

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

#6 USC is 16-5 (.762) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .548

#6 USC is 11-6 (.478) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403

#6 USC was 8-1 (.889) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .587

#6 USC is 10-5 (.526) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

Matchup Notes for Stanford vs. USC

USC’s offense threw for 4,696 passing yards in 14 games (335.4 YPG) in the 2022 season — third-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed just 220.8 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

USC’s WRs gained 3,878 yards on 263 receptions (14.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Stanford’s defense allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

USC’s QBs has thrown for 9,500 passing yards in 28 games (339.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed just 229.5 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 848 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 29th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 848 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 29th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Stanford had just 252.2 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 skill players. USC’s defense allowed 264.1 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends

Stanford TEs have averaged 9.0 receptions per game (9/1) this season– tied for 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 848 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 29th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.2% of 848 attempts since the 2021 season — tied for 29th-worst among FBS offenses. USC’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.5% of attempts since the 2021 season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Stanford had just 252.2 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 skill players. USC’s defense allowed 264.1 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Stanford’s TEs was targeted 74 times in the 2022 season — fourth-most among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense allowed 3,698 receiving yards in the 2022 season — second-most among P5 defenses.

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

#6 USC Skill Players have 14 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#6 USC QBs had 17 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#6 USC WRs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC WRs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

#6 USC WRs have 660 receiving yards this season– most among FBS Teams

Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends

Stanford has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 16 rushing attempts (50% TFL%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Stanford has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 16 rushing attempts (50% TFL%) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%.

Stanford allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 87 of 411 carries (21%) in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

Stanford allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 87 of 411 carries (21%) in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 13%

Stanford has averaged 6.0 sacks per game this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#6 USC has allowed 4 TD passes this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC has allowed 7 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC has allowed 572 Passing Yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC defense has allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#6 USC has allowed 572 Passing Yards this season– 3rd-most in FBS


Bet now on USC vs Stanford and all games with BetMGM


College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on national championship odds and Heisman Trophy odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.