Syracuse vs Connecticut Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 5

Connecticut head coach Jim Mora watches before an NCAA college football game against Michigan in Ann Arbor, Mich., Saturday, Sept. 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
(AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The Syracuse Orange are a -5.5 point favorite vs. the Connecticut Huskies
  • Syracuse vs. Connecticut Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Syracuse (1-2) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on Connecticut (2-2) on Oct. 3 in East Hartford, CT. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Syracuse Orange are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-125).

The Syracuse vs. Connecticut Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

Bet now on Connecticut Huskies vs Syracuse Orange & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Syracuse vs. Connecticut Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Syracuse-5.5 -12551.5 -140-235
Connecticut +5.5 -10551.5 +105+200

Syracuse vs Connecticut Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Syracuse will win this game with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Syracuse Orange and the Connecticut Huskies, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs Connecticut Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Syracuse will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Syracuse has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Syracuse have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UConn have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UConn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 19% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse Orange is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -100% ROI
  • Syracuse is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Syracuse is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut Huskies is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Connecticut is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Connecticut is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Connecticut is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Connecticut

Syracuse is 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .621

Syracuse is 2-11 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2024 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .519

Syracuse is 3-10 (.231) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .696

Syracuse is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .634

Connecticut: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

UConn was 8-2 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards last season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

UConn was 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .604

UConn is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2024 season– T-7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

UConn is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .449

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. Connecticut

UConn’s QBs threw for 3,415 passing yards in 12 games (284.6 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 passing yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn’s offense threw for 3,430 passing yards in 12 games (285.8 YPG) last season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 passing yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn’s WRs had 201.6 receiving yards per game last season — 23rd-best among FBS WRs. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 receiving yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs has 421 receptions in 28 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 23rd-best among FBS WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Syracuse has 688 receptions in 28 games (24.6 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among FBS skill players. UConn’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs has 421 receptions in 28 games (15.0 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-best among ACC WRs. UConn’s defense has allowed 15.5 receptions per game to WRs since the 2024 season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.7

Syracuse RBs picked up first downs on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Syracuse have gone for two on 21% of PATs since the 2024 season– highest among Power Conference Offenses; Average: 5%

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

Connecticut Offensive Stats & Trends

UConn’s QBs threw for 3,415 passing yards in 12 games (284.6 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 passing yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

UConn have 4 interceptions on 532 attempts (1 INT per 133.0 attempts) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 41.1

UConn threw 26 TDs and just one interception last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.0

UConn have thrown 8.5 Passing TDs per Interception (34 passing TDs/4 interceptions) since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.2

UConn threw one interception on 422 attempts last season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 40.1

Syracuse Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse has allowed 8.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (355 yards / 41 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.0

Syracuse had no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Syracuse has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (19 completions/44 attempts) in close and late situations since the 2024 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 59%

Syracuse has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 27 of their 493 carries (6%) since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Connecticut Defensive Stats & Trends

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.

UConn allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (210 yards / 86 touches) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

UConn forced 4 fumbles on 425 carries (106.2 Carries Per Fumble) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4

UConn tackled opponents for a loss on 17 of 64 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Opponents have averaged 26.8 completions per game (107 / 4) against UConn this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 18.2


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