Syracuse vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Pittsburgh Panthers are a -10 point favorite vs. the Syracuse Orange
• Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN

Syracuse (1-1) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on Pittsburgh (2-0) on Sep. 17 in Pittsburgh, PA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.

The Pittsburgh Panthers are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10 (-112).

The Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Syracuse vs Pittsburgh Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 70.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Syracuse Orange and the Pittsburgh Panthers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Syracuse vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Syracuse Best Bets Today

• Syracuse have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• Syracuse has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Syracuse has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Pittsburgh Best Bets Today

• Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• Pittsburgh have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse Orange is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Syracuse is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -100% ROI
• Syracuse is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Syracuse is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pittsburgh Panthers is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI).

• Pittsburgh is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 18.6% ROI
• Pittsburgh is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
• Pittsburgh is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

Syracuse was 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Syracuse was 8-3 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Syracuse was 6-3 (.667) when in a one score game last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514

Syracuse was 8-1 (.889) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Pittsburgh was 6-4 (.600) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Pittsburgh was 7-3 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Pittsburgh was 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .450

Pittsburgh was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Matchup Notes for Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh’s QBs threw for 3,553 passing yards in 13 games (273.3 YPG) last season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 passing yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh’s WRs had 19 receiving touchdowns last season — 3rd-most among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense allowed 23 receiving touchdowns last season — T-3rd-most among ACC defenses.

Pittsburgh’s WRs had 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 2nd-best among ACC WRs. Syracuse’s defense allowed 1.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs had 16 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-most among ACC WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 28 receiving touchdowns last season — T-most among P5 defenses.

Syracuse had 17 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-fewest among ACC skill players. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 28 receiving touchdowns last season — T-most among P5 defenses.

Syracuse’s WRs had 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 4th-best among ACC WRs. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among ACC defenses.

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6

Syracuse Skill Players were targeted 44.8 times per game (583/13) last season– highest among Power Conference Teams; Average: 30.4

Syracuse averaged 370.0 Passing Yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 227.2

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 370.0 receiving yards per game (4,810/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 226.6

Syracuse Skill Players averaged 30.2 receptions per game (393/13) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh’s QBs threw for 3,553 passing yards in 13 games (273.3 YPG) last season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Syracuse’s defense allowed 252.8 passing yards per game last season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh Skill Players caught 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter last season– T-most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh Skill Players had no touchdowns on 18 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.0

Pittsburgh threw 0 TDs on 29 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 15.3

Pittsburgh WRs caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 23 of their 396 carries (6%) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3%

Syracuse allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (298 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.0

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 56%

Syracuse allowed 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (298 yards / 32 touches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.0

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 96 of 453 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 89 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh tackled opponents for a loss on 96 of 453 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) last season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

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