Georgia vs TCU Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bets: National Championship

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 09, 2023, 8:00 AM
  • Georgia are -12.5 point favorites vs TCU
  • Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The TCU Horned Frogs visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Georgia Bulldogs on Jan. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Inglewood.

Georgia are betting favorites in the National Championship game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).

The TCU vs. Georgia Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Georgia vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 19

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+12.5 -11063.5 -110+350
Georgia -12.5 -11063.5 -110-450

TCU vs Georgia Prediction, National Championship:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia will win the National Championship game with 67.1% confidence, over TCU.

TCU vs Georgia Spread Prediction, National Championship:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread against TCU with 55.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Georgia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players for Week 19, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Duggan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Quentin Johnston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kendre Miller has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Derius Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Georgia Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia players for Week 19, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Stetson Bennett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Brock Bowers has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Stetson Bennett has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Ladd McConkey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+16.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 away games (+7.65 Units / 59% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 18 games (+14.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 10 games at home (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.20 Units / 13% ROI)

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU has gone 10-3 against the spread this college football season (+6.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • TCU is 12-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.65 Units / 53.18% ROI
  • TCU is 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • TCU is 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia has gone 7-7 against the spread this college football season (-0.75 Units / -4.85% ROI).

  • Georgia is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 9.26% ROI
  • Georgia is 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Georgia is 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

#3 TCU is 9-1 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

#3 TCU is 10-1 (.833) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .441

#3 TCU is 7-1 (.778) when passing for more than 200 yards — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .399

#3 TCU is 10-2 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

#1 Georgia is undefeated (9-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#1 Georgia is undefeated (10-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .421

#1 Georgia is 18-1 (.818) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415

#1 Georgia is 10-1 (.909) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .384

Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Georgia

Georgia’s TEs has 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) this season — fourth-best among FBS TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has averaged 8.4 targets per game since the 2021 season — fourth-highest among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) this season — third-best among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among Big Ten defenses.

TCU has gained 6,036 yards on 434 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

TCU’s WRs has gained 4,995 yards on 323 receptions (15.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

TCU has gained 6,036 yards on 434 receptions (13.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

TCU’s WRs has gained 4,995 yards on 323 receptions (15.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

#3 TCU WRs have 17 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#3 TCU Skill Players have averaged 14.2 yards per reception (1,133 yards/80 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.9

#3 TCU WRs have averaged 15.3 yards per reception (4,799 yards/313 catches) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia TEs have 17 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

#1 Georgia TEs have 39 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia’s TEs has 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) this season — fourth-best among FBS TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has averaged 8.4 targets per game since the 2021 season — fourth-highest among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia’s TEs has 78 receptions in 12 games (6.5 per game) this season — third-best among P5 TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 16.1 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among Big Ten defenses.

TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#3 TCU has forced 9 fumbles on 852 carries (94.7 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 41.5

#3 TCU has forced 9 fumbles on 852 carries (94.7 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.0

#3 TCU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (27 completions/63 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

#3 TCU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (43 completions/100 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#3 TCU has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (41 completions/88 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#1 Georgia has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (22 completions/78 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#1 Georgia has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 35 carries (11.7 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

#1 Georgia has allowed a passer rating of just 76.0 in the Red Zone (78.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 163.4

#1 Georgia opponents has averaged 51.9 Passing Attempts per TD (882 Pass Attempts/17 Passing TDs) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21.3

#1 Georgia has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 291 carries (97 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 24.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.