- TCU is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Houston
- Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
- Watch the game on FOX
The TCU Horned Frogs visit John O’Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The TCU vs. Houston Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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TCU vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| TCU | -7.5 -110 | 64.5 -115 | -300 |
| Houston | +7.5 -110 | 64.5 -105 | +240 |
TCU vs Houston Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 73.7% confidence.
TCU vs Houston Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 78.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Houston, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 39% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- TCU is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -100% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Houston is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -44.74% ROI
- Houston is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Houston is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
#17 TCU was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367
#17 TCU is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .366
#17 TCU is 8-2 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438
#17 TCU is 8-2 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .359
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
Houston is winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .430
Houston is winless (0-4) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437
Houston is winless (0-2) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
Houston is winless (0-2) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Houston
Houston’s QBs has thrown for 4,779 passing yards in 15 games (318.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS teams. TCU’s defense has allowed 275.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed 27.5 receptions per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for worst among P5 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed 27.5 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s offense has thrown for 588 passing yards in 2 games (294.0 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed 316.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s WRs has gained 3,658 yards on 246 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 20th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s TEs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — tied for best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU’s offense has thrown for 588 passing yards in 2 games (294.0 YPG) this season — 35th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense has allowed 316.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s WRs has gained 3,658 yards on 246 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 20th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s TEs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — tied for best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s TEs has 11 receptions in 2 games (5.5 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s WRs has gained 3,658 yards on 246 receptions (14.9 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 20th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston WRs had 38 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
Houston’s QBs has thrown for 4,779 passing yards in 15 games (318.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS teams. TCU’s defense has allowed 275.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston WRs caught 11 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams
Houston’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed 27.5 receptions per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston WRs have caught 12 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams
TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends
#17 TCU has allowed 7 receptions for 20+ yards this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams
#17 TCU has allowed 4 TD passes this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams
#17 TCU has allowed 542.0 Passing Yards per game (542/1) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 228.7
#17 TCU defense has allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams
#17 TCU has allowed a Completion Pct of 81% (38 completions/47 attempts) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%
Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams
Houston allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.9
Houston has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (30 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.9
Houston has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 9 of 35 carries (26%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
Houston has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85
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