TCU vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:38 PM
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The TCU Horned Frogs (6-0) visit David Booth Memorial Stadium (Lawrence, KS) to take on the Kansas Jayhawks (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Lawrence.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for TCU vs. Kansas is total points.

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TCU vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU
Kansas

TCU vs Kansas Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 59.1% confidence.

TCU vs Kansas Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 74.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Kansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Duggan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.75 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Quentin Johnston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taye Barber has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Derius Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Kansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jalon Daniels has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jalon Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+17.30 Units / 153% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+9.30 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • TCU are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • TCU are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • TCU are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kansas are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kansas are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

TCU is 8-1 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

Kansas is 3-16 (.125) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– tied for 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458

Kansas is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .440

Kansas is winless (0-11) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .512

Kansas is 1-17 (.056) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .392

Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Kansas

Kansas’s tight end unit have just 9.2 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among P5 TE corps. TCU’s defense has allowed just 207.0 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s offense has 13 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-most among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed 4 rushing TDs this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s offense has given up16 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has sacked the quarterback 21 times since the 2021 season — third-fewest among P5 defenses.

TCU’s backfield has rushed for 547 yards on 78 carries (7.0 YPC) this season — third-best among FBS backfields. Kansas’s defense have allowed just 2.9 YPC this season — tied for best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU’s backfield has rushed for 2,317 yards on 373 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS backfields. Kansas’s defense have allowed 5.4 YPC since the 2021 season — tied for third-worst among P5 defenses.

TCU’s QBs has rushed for 242 yards on 26 carries (9.3 YPC) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Kansas’s defense have allowed just 2.9 YPC this season — tied for best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

#17 TCU WRs have caught 6 of 6 passes (100% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

#17 TCU QBs have rushed for 114 yards in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

#17 TCU RBs have averaged 7.0 Yards per Carry (547 yards/78 carries) this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

#17 TCU WRs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (642 yards/36 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

#17 TCU Skill Players have averaged 15.3 yards per reception (690 yards/45 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.9

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

#19 Kansas Skill Players have no receptions on 1 targets in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

#19 Kansas RBs have averaged 11.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (145 yards / 13 touches) on 3rd down this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

#19 Kansas RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

#19 Kansas Skill Players have averaged just 3.0 receptions per game (12/4) in the 2nd half this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.0

#19 Kansas RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 39 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.9

TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#17 TCU has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 407 attempts (5%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

#17 TCU has forced 4 fumbles on 565 carries (141.2 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.7

#17 TCU has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 407 attempts (5%) since last season– tied for 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

#17 TCU has forced 4 fumbles on 565 carries (141.2 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.5

#17 TCU has allowed 14.6 yards per completion (3,645 yards/249 completions) since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

#19 Kansas has no interceptions and 19 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.5

#19 Kansas has allowed 53 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.9

#19 Kansas has allowed a passer rating of 159.1 (457.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 129.4

#19 Kansas has forced one fumble on 150 carries this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 36.3

#19 Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 48 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.