TCU vs Kansas St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman watches during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Arizona Friday, Sept. 13, 2024, in Manhattan, Kan. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • TCU is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Kansas St
  • TCU vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

TCU (4-1) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on Kansas State (2-4) on Oct. 11 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

TCU is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The TCU vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU-1.5 -11055.5 -110-120
Kansas State +1.5 -11055.5 -110100

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 51.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Kansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

TCU vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • TCU have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.52 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.55 Units / 6% ROI)

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).

  • TCU is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 19.51% ROI
  • TCU is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • TCU is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas St iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -19.75% ROI
  • Kansas State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Kansas State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713

TCU was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

TCU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .729

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Kansas State was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Kansas State

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Kansas State was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713

TCU was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

TCU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .729

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713

TCU was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

TCU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .729

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Kansas State was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends

TCU was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

TCU is undefeated (11-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713

TCU was 9-2 (.818) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .618

TCU is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .729

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Kansas State was undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688

Kansas State was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Kansas State was 9-3 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .628


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