- TCU is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
- TCU vs. Stanford Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The TCU Horned Frogs 0-0 visit Stanford Stadium to take on the Stanford Cardinal 0-0 on Aug. 30 in Stanford, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The TCU vs. Stanford Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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TCU vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| TCU | -9.5 -110 | 58.5 -105 | -350 |
| Stanford | +9.5 -110 | 58.5 -115 | +275 |
TCU vs Stanford Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 72.8% confidence.
TCU vs Stanford Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 83.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Stanford, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Stanford Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+5.95 Units / 99% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 7 games (+3.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Stanford have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 26% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today
- Josh Hoover has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Josh Hoover has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 81% ROI)
- Savion Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- JoJo Earle has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- JP Richardson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Stanford players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Stanford Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Elic Ayomanor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Ashton Daniels has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.45 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ashton Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Sam Roush has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tiger Bachmeier has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU was 5-7 against the spread last college football season (-2.65 Units / -20.15% ROI).
- TCU was 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -52.4% ROI
- TCU was 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- TCU was 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Stanford is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).
- Stanford was 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 11.01% ROI
- Stanford was 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Stanford was 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford
TCU is 14-5 (.636) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .455
TCU is 13-9 (.591) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 27th-best in FBS; Average: .409
TCU is 15-8 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .504
TCU is 14-6 (.636) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .515
Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. TCU
Stanford is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .398
Stanford is 3-17 (.150) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436
Stanford is 3-14 (.176) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2022 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .391
Stanford is 4-14 (.222) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Matchup Notes for TCU vs. Stanford
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.7% of 818 attempts since the 2022 season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.9% of attempts since the 2022 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
Stanford’s offense averaged just 0.9 passing TDs per game last season — T-15th-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed just 1.3 passing TDs per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Stanford had just 0.9 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-15th-worst among FBS skill players. TCU’s defense allowed just 1.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s QBs has thrown for 7,650 passing yards in 27 games (283.3 YPG) since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s TEs had 70 receptions in 12 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Stanford’s defense allowed 23.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s offense threw for 3,742 passing yards in 12 games (311.8 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 291.5 passing yards per game last season — worst among FBS defenses.
TCU Offensive Stats & Trends
TCU’s QBs has thrown for 7,650 passing yards in 27 games (283.3 YPG) since the 2022 season — 15th-best among FBS teams. Stanford’s defense has allowed 248.8 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s TEs had 70 receptions in 12 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Stanford’s defense allowed 23.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s offense threw for 3,742 passing yards in 12 games (311.8 YPG) last season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Stanford’s defense allowed 291.5 passing yards per game last season — worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s WRs averaged 28.9 targets per game last season — 3rd-highest among Power 5 WRs. Stanford’s defense allowed 17.5 receptions per game to WRs last season — 3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
TCU’s TEs had 70 receptions in 12 games (5.8 per game) last season — 4th-best among P5 TEs. Stanford’s defense allowed 23.5 receptions per game last season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.
Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends
Stanford Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 6.5 receptions (13 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Stanford Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.3 receptions (33 Rec/10 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.1
Stanford Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 6.5 receptions (13 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
Stanford RBs averaged 50.5 rushing yards per game (606/12) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.0
Stanford’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.7% of 818 attempts since the 2022 season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.9% of attempts since the 2022 season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.
TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends
TCU has forced 12 fumbles on 1,024 carries (85.3 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 40.8
TCU forced 5 fumbles on 467 carries (93.4 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.0
TCU allowed passes of 40+ yards on 17 of 400 attempts (4%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%
TCU has forced 12 fumbles on 1,024 carries (85.3 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.0
TCU has sacked opponents 11 times in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– T-3rd-most in FBS
Stanford Cardinal Defensive Stats & Trends
Stanford allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (40 completions/56 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 53%
Stanford allowed 32 TD passes in the 2023 season– most in FBS
Stanford forced 3 fumbles on 420 carries (140.0 Carries Per Fumble) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.0
Stanford has allowed 3.9 touchdowns per interception (54 TDs allowed, and 14 INT) since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.8
Stanford allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
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