TCU vs West Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

BetMGM Betting Oct 24, 2025, 3:14 PM

min read

(Photo by 1022 Project/Shutterstock)

TCU is a -15.5 point favorite vs. West Virginia
TCU vs. West Virginia Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN+

TCU (5-2) visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on West Virginia (2-5) on Oct. 25 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT.

TCU is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The TCU vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 55.5 total points.

Bet now on West Virginia vs TCU & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

TCU vs. West Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
TCU	-15.5 -110	55.5 -110	-700
West Virginia	+15.5 -110	55.5 -110	500

TCU vs West Virginia Prediction:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 79.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and West Virginia, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

TCU vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on West Virginia vs TCU and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

TCU Best Bets Today

TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
TCU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
TCU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)

West Virginia Best Bets Today

West Virginia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.52 Units / 23% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 35% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 23.53% ROI).

TCU is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 12.08% ROI
TCU is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
TCU is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI

West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

West Virginia iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

West Virginia is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -8.13% ROI
West Virginia is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
West Virginia is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. West Virginia

TCU has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Power Conference Teams

TCU has allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most in FBS

TCU has allowed 10 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in the Big 12

TCU has allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2024 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

TCU tackled opponents for a loss on just 63 of 496 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 15%.

West Virginia: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

West Virginia did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.7

West Virginia allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 386 attempts (5%) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 2%

West Virginia has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 27 of 598 attempts (4%) since the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2%

West Virginia allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (26 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Matchup Notes for TCU vs. West Virginia