Temple vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Houston (5-4) are -19.5 point favorites vs Temple (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 57 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Temple Owls (3-8) visit John O’Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars (7-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Houston.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Temple vs. Houston is total points.

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Temple vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Temple
Houston

Temple vs Houston Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Houston will win this game with 73.4% confidence.

Temple vs Houston Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Temple will cover the spread with 70.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Temple and Houston, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Houston Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Houston players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Clayton Tune has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nathaniel Dell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Clayton Tune has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Temple have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Temple is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -10.77% ROI
  • Temple is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • Temple is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Houston is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -8.44% ROI
  • Houston is 8-1 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 69.7% ROI
  • Houston is 1-8 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -78.79% ROI

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. Houston

Temple is winless (0-5) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .497

Temple is 1-15 (.056) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Temple is winless (0-9) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .441

Temple is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .443

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

Houston is undefeated (10-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .578

Houston is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 8th-best in FBS; Average: .420

Houston is 14-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 11th-best in FBS; Average: .592

Houston is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .552

Matchup Notes for Temple vs. Houston

Houston has 39 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-most among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed 26 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among NonP5 defenses.

Houston’s WRs has 31 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — third-most among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 26 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among NonP5 defenses.

Temple Offensive Stats & Trends

Temple RBs have averaged 76.0 rushing yards per game (1,520/20) since last season– 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 132.1

Temple RBs have been targeted 22 times on 3rd down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Temple WRs have averaged just 9.8 yards per reception (451 yards/46 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 14.7

Temple RBs have averaged just 1.3 Yards per Carry (23 yards/18 carries) in close and late situations this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Temple QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

Houston WRs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have picked up first downs on 18 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have 52 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have caught 31 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have been targeted 44 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Temple Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Temple has no interceptions and 26 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.3

Temple has allowed a passer rating of 246.8 in the Red Zone (66.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 168.1

Temple has sacked opposing QBs on 14% of pass attempts (26/189) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Temple has no interceptions and 26 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

Temple has allowed a passer rating of 246.8 in the Red Zone (66.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 164.3

Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Houston has allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Houston has allowed 15 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Houston has allowed 24 TD passes this season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Houston has allowed 24 TD passes this season– 2nd most in FBS

Houston has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 18 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.