Temple vs Tulane Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

Tulane running back Makhi Hughes (21) runs during an NCAA football game against North Texas on Saturday, Oct. 21, 2023, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
(AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)
  • Tulane is a -26.5 point favorite vs. Temple
  • Temple vs. Tulane Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Temple Owls (2-6) visit Benson Field at Yulman Stadium to take on the Tulane Green Wave (7-2) on Nov. 9 in New Orleans, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EST.

Tulane is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -26.5 (-110).

The Temple vs. Tulane Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Temple vs. Tulane Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Temple+26.5 -11049.5 -110+1550
Tulane -26.5 -11049.5 -110-5000

Temple vs Tulane Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tulane will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Temple and Tulane, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Temple vs Tulane Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Temple will cover the spread with 67.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Temple has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Temple has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tulane have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tulane has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tulane players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tulane Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Yulkeith Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Darian Mensah has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Alex Bauman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Makhi Hughes has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Darian Mensah has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Temple Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Temple is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.35 Units / -4% ROI).

  • Temple is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -35.29% ROI
  • Temple is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Temple is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tulane Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulane is 7-2 against the spread this college football season (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI).

  • Tulane is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 3.54% ROI
  • Tulane is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Tulane is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Temple: Keys to the Game vs. Tulane

Temple is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Temple is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: .416

Temple is 2-5 (.286) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .623

Temple is 2-14 (.125) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .386

Tulane: Keys to the Game vs. Temple

Tulane is 9-3 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382

Tulane is 12-1 (.923) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .521

Tulane is 17-4 (.810) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Tulane is 7-2 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .560

Matchup Notes for Temple vs. Tulane

Tulane has 362 receptions in 23 games (just 15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has averaged 15.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane has averaged 13.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple has 449 receptions in 20 games (22.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 780 attempts since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Temple Offensive Stats & Trends

Temple has 449 receptions in 20 games (22.4 per game) since the 2023 season — 27th-best among FBS skill players. Tulane’s defense has allowed 21.0 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Temple’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 780 attempts since the 2023 season — T-18th-worst among FBS offenses. Tulane’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch this season — T-29th-worst among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.4 RAC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s WRs has gained 1,140 yards on 100 receptions (just 11.4 YPR) this season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulane’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Temple’s RBs has averaged 6.2 targets per game this season — T-15th-highest among FBS RBs. Tulane’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-21st-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has 362 receptions in 23 games (just 15.7 per game) since the 2023 season — T-23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed just 16.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s WRs has averaged 15.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Temple’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane has averaged 13.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Temple’s defense has allowed 13.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 572 attempts since the 2023 season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Temple’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulane Skill Players had no touchdowns on 21 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Temple Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Temple has no interceptions and 24 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.1

Temple intercepted 3 of 326 attempts (108.7 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 36.7

Temple allowed 9.0 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Temple intercepted 3 of 326 attempts (108.7 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 37.2

Temple has tackled opponents for a loss on just 29 of 330 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Tulane Green Wave Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 10 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Tulane has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 10 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Tulane allowed a Completion Pct of just 32% (7 completions/22 attempts) last week– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Tulane has allowed 2.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (92 yards / 45 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Tulane has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 4 of 113 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%


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