Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 8:09 PM

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Alabama head coach Kalen DeBoer watches warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Western Kentucky, Saturday, Aug. 31, 2024, in Tuscaloosa, Ala.

(AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)

Alabama is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Tennessee
Tennessee vs. Alabama Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
TV Channel: ABC

Tennessee (5-1) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on Alabama (5-1) on Oct. 18 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Tennessee vs. Alabama Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Tennessee	+8.5 -115	58.5 -105	260
Alabama	-8.5 -105	58.5 -115	-325

Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 72.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tennessee vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Tennessee Best Bets Today

Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Alabama Best Bets Today

Alabama have covered the Spread in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.51% ROI).

Tennessee is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 15.44% ROI
Tennessee is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Tennessee is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI).

Alabama is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -5.86% ROI
Alabama is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Alabama is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2024 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .683

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Tennessee was 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Alabama’s opponents has attempted just 22.2 passes per game this season– lowest in the SEC; Average: 29.8

Alabama allowed 10 rushing TDs on 487 carries (48.7 Carries Per TD) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Alabama has allowed just 76.3 receiving yards per game (458/6) to WRs this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 155.1

Alabama’s opponents attempted two-point conversions on 18% of PATs last season– 3rd-highest in FBS; Average: 8%

Alabama has allowed 136.5 Passing Yards per game (819/6) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 215.1

Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Alabama