Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

• Tennessee is a -9 point favorite vs. Kentucky
• Tennessee vs. Kentucky Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
• TV Channel: SECN

Tennessee (5-2) visit Kroger Field to take on Kentucky (2-4) on Oct. 25 in Lexington, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -9 (-110).

The Tennessee vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 73.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Kentucky, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Tennessee vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Tennessee Best Bets Today

• Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Kentucky Best Bets Today

• Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 56% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.06% ROI).

• Tennessee is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.17% ROI
• Tennessee is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
• Tennessee is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kentucky iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

• Kentucky is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -5.49% ROI
• Kentucky is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI
• Kentucky is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -19.7% ROI

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Kentucky

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Kentucky allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (12 completions/27 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 65%

Kentucky opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Kentucky has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13%.

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Kentucky: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 1-11 (.083) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Kentucky

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 1-11 (.083) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Kentucky allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (12 completions/27 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 65%

Kentucky opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Kentucky has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13%.

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Kentucky allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (12 completions/27 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 65%

Kentucky opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Kentucky has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13%.

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 1-11 (.083) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the SEC; Average: 3.9

Kentucky allowed a Completion Pct of just 44% (12 completions/27 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 65%

Kentucky opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Kentucky has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 20 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13%.

Kentucky has allowed one passing TD (11 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends

Kentucky was 1-8 (.111) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481

Kentucky is 1-11 (.083) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Kentucky was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .422

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