Tennessee vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:44 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Tennessee Volunteers (6-0) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Baton Rouge.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Tennessee vs. LSU is total points.

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Tennessee vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee
LSU

Tennessee vs LSU Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 54.0% confidence.

Tennessee vs LSU Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.10 Units / 26% ROI)

Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kayshon Boutte has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+13.15 Units / 79% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.71 Units / 18% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tennessee are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Tennessee are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Tennessee are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

LSU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • LSU are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • LSU are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • LSU are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. LSU

#8 Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .313

#8 Tennessee is winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .297

#8 Tennessee is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

#8 Tennessee is 2-7 (.182) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .382

LSU: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

LSU is 1-6 (.143) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .426

LSU is 1-6 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .297

LSU is undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513

LSU is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423

Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. LSU

Tennessee has gained 1,114 yards on 74 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s receiving corps has 37 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-most among Power 5 WR corps. LSU’s defense has allowed 32 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — second-most among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s receiving corps has 65 receptions in 3 games (21.7 per game) this season — third-best among Power 5 WR corps. LSU’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game this season — fifth-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee has gained 1,114 yards on 74 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 11.8 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among SEC defenses.

#8 Tennessee WRs have averaged 21.2 yards per reception (550 yards/26 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.7

#8 Tennessee TEs have averaged 26.8 yards per reception (107 yards/4 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

#8 Tennessee QBs have fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

#8 Tennessee Skill Players have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (691 yards/37 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends

#25 LSU QBs have rushed for 85 yards in close and late situations this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

#25 LSU WRs have been targeted 100 times in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#25 LSU Skill Players have averaged just 10.1 yards per reception (811 yards/80 catches) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

#25 LSU WRs have averaged just 7.9 yards per reception (151 yards/19 catches) on 1st down this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.5

#25 LSU WRs have picked up first downs on 11 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

#8 Tennessee has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 16 rushes in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

#8 Tennessee has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 16 rushes in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 4.7

#8 Tennessee has allowed 0.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (17 yards / 19 touches) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.7

#8 Tennessee has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (3 completions/12 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 51%

#8 Tennessee has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 12 passes (25% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 52%

LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

#25 LSU has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

#25 LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 70% (14 completions/20 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#25 LSU has allowed 10.5 Yards per Attempt (859 yards/82 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.5

#25 LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 78% (18 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 62%

#25 LSU has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.