Tennessee vs South Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Tennessee (9-1) are -21.5 point favorites vs South Carolina (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points

The Tennessee Volunteers (9-2) visit Williams-Brice Stadium to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks (7-4) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Columbia.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Tennessee vs. South Carolina is total points.

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Tennessee vs. South Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee
South Carolina

Tennessee vs South Carolina Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 76.8% confidence.

Tennessee vs South Carolina Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Carolina will cover the spread with 50.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and South Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cedric Tillman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 17% ROI)

Best South Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Carolina players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Rattler has hit the Passing Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Spencer Rattler has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Spencer Rattler has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+14.60 Units / 59% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Tennessee is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 25.98% ROI
  • Tennessee is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Tennessee is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

South Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Carolina is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 2.2% ROI
  • South Carolina is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • South Carolina is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. South Carolina

#3 Tennessee is undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510

#3 Tennessee is 10-3 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .441

#8 Tennessee is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

#8 Tennessee is 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

South Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

South Carolina is 8-2 (.800) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .493

South Carolina is 4-12 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. South Carolina

South Carolina’s RBs has 680 rushing yards this season — fifth-fewest among FBS RBs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed 902 rushing yards this season — second-fewest among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 3,165 passing yards in 9 games (351.7 YPG) this season — third-best among FBS teams. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 202.7 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 6,475 yards on 451 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Power 5 skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 3,133 passing yards in 9 games (348.1 YPG) this season — third-best among FBS offenses. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 202.7 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s QBs has thrown for 3,165 passing yards in 9 games (351.7 YPG) this season — third-best among FBS teams. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 202.7 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 6,475 yards on 451 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Power 5 skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 3,133 passing yards in 9 games (348.1 YPG) this season — third-best among FBS offenses. South Carolina’s defense has allowed just 202.7 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among SEC defenses.

Tennessee has gained 3,133 yards on 208 receptions (15.1 YPR) this season — fifth-best among FBS skill players. South Carolina’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

#5 Tennessee QBs have fumbled 9 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.5 receptions (11 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.9

South Carolina Skill Players have fumbled 12 times this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

South Carolina have gone for two on 21% of PATs this season– highest among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 5%

South Carolina WRs have fumbled 7 times this season– most among Power 5 Teams

South Carolina Skill Players have fumbled 12 times this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

#5 Tennessee has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (15 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Opponents have averaged 25.4 completions per game (229 / 9) against #5 Tennessee this season– worst in FBS; Average: 19.1

Opponents have averaged 25.4 completions per game (229 / 9) against #5 Tennessee this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.4

#5 Tennessee has allowed 267 first down receptions since last season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#5 Tennessee has allowed 229 completions this season– 3rd most in FBS

South Carolina Gamecocks Defensive Stats & Trends

South Carolina has allowed a passer rating of just 72.2 in close and late situations (97.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 125.1

South Carolina has allowed a passer rating of just 72.2 in close and late situations (97.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.0

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (41 completions/97 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 58%

South Carolina has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (41 completions/97 attempts) in close and late situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

South Carolina has allowed first downs on 17% of pass attempts in close and late situations since last season– best in FBS; Average: 30%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.