Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:08 AM
  • Tennessee (9-2) are -14.5 point favorites vs Vanderbilt (5-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points

The Tennessee Volunteers (9-2) visit FirstBank Stadium to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-6) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville.

Tennessee are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-14.5 -10564.5 -110-550
Vanderbilt +14.5 -11564.5 -110+400

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 74.6% confidence.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 65.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Vanderbilt, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hendon Hooker has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Cedric Tillman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hendon Hooker has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Vanderbilt Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Vanderbilt players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Re’Mahn Davis has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+8.10 Units / 162% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee has gone 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -23.94% ROI
  • Tennessee is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Tennessee is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Vanderbilt Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Vanderbilt has gone 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • Vanderbilt is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 48.9% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Vanderbilt is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Vanderbilt

#9 Tennessee is 10-3 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .444

#9 Tennessee is 7-1 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .504

#9 Tennessee is 1-4 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .312

Vanderbilt: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Vanderbilt is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .460

Vanderbilt is 1-14 (.053) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .368

Vanderbilt is 1-14 (.067) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Vanderbilt is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Matchup Notes for Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 5,829 yards on 382 receptions (15.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 3,076 yards on 196 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — tied for third-best among Power 5 WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.

Tennessee has gained 6,830 yards on 480 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for best among Power 5 skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 5,829 yards on 382 receptions (15.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

#9 Tennessee Skill Players have averaged 15.9 yards per reception (1,527 yards/96 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.9

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 3,076 yards on 196 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — tied for third-best among Power 5 WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.

Tennessee has gained 6,830 yards on 480 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for best among Power 5 skill players. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 13.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Tennessee’s WRs has gained 3,076 yards on 196 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — tied for third-best among Power 5 WRs. Vanderbilt’s defense has allowed 14.4 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for second-worst among FBS defenses.

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt RBs have averaged just 3.1 Yards per Carry (345 yards/113 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Vanderbilt RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (452 yards / 130 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Vanderbilt RBs have averaged just 3.2 Yards per Carry (189 yards/60 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Vanderbilt RBs have averaged 3.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,028 yards / 270 touches) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Vanderbilt RBs have averaged 4.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,508 yards / 587 touches) since last season– tied for 3rd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Tennessee Volunteers Defensive Stats & Trends

#9 Tennessee has allowed a Completion Pct of just 47% (15 completions/32 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

#9 Tennessee has allowed 560 completions since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Opponents have averaged 26.0 completions per game (260 / 10) against #9 Tennessee this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.4

#9 Tennessee has allowed 296.0 Passing Yards per game (6,807/23) since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 240.6

#9 Tennessee has allowed 1,755 Passing Yards in the 1st half — 2nd-most among Power 5 Teams

Vanderbilt Commodores Defensive Stats & Trends

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 12 of 278 attempts (4%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

Vanderbilt has averaged a sack every 29.2 pass attempts (671 Pass Attempts/23 Sacks) since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.3

Vanderbilt has averaged a sack every 29.2 pass attempts (671 Pass Attempts/23 Sacks) since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

Vanderbilt has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (23/671) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Vanderbilt has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 95 of 671 attempts (14%) since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.