Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:30 PM
  • Auburn (3-6) are -1.5 point favorites vs Texas A&MM (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Texas A&M Aggies (4-7) visit Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (5-6) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Auburn.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas A&M vs. Auburn is total points.

Bet now on Auburn vs Texas A and M & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas A and M vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M
Auburn

Texas A and M vs Auburn Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 55.2% confidence.

Texas A&M vs Auburn Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 77.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Auburn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas A&M Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas A and M players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Stewart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Max Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Devon Achane has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tank Bigsby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tank Bigsby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Shedrick Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.92 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 games (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Texas A and M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A and M has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.6 Units / -87.64% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Auburn is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • Auburn is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Auburn is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Texas A and M: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Texas A&M is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

Texas A&M is 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Texas A&M is 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

Texas A&M is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes — tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .353

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Auburn is 2-7 (.200) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Auburn is 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Auburn is 2-9 (.167) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Auburn is 3-8 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Matchup Notes for Texas A and M vs. Auburn

Auburn has 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Power 5 skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns this season — third-most among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,053 yards on 63 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 1,053 yards on 63 receptions (16.7 YPR) this season — best among Power 5 WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M WRs have been targeted 83 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M WRs have been targeted 83 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have been targeted 106 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have been targeted 106 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Texas A&M QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn WRs have averaged 20.1 yards per reception (282 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Auburn QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Auburn Skill Players have caught just 11 of 30 passes (37% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 63%

Auburn RBs have averaged 8.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (339 yards / 40 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Auburn has 6 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-fewest among Power 5 skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 12 receiving touchdowns this season — third-most among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 121 carries (9.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Texas A&M has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 779 carries (51.9 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.1

Texas A&M has intercepted 2 of 237 attempts (118.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 37.6

Texas A&M has allowed 6.0 touchdowns per interception (12 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– tied for 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Texas A&M has allowed 13 rushing TDs on 121 carries (9.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn has intercepted 2 of 259 attempts (129.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.0

Auburn has intercepted 2 of 259 attempts (129.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 37.6

Auburn has allowed 18 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most in FBS

Auburn has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 63 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Auburn has allowed 18 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Auburn vs Texas A and M and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.