Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:24 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Texas A&M Aggies (3-3) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (6-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Tuscaloosa.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Texas A and M vs. Alabama is total points.

Bet now on Alabama vs Texas A and M & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Texas A and M vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A and M
Alabama

Texas A and M vs Alabama Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 74.7% confidence.

Texas A and M vs Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A and M and Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Texas A and M Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas A and M players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Max Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Bryce Young has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)

Texas A and M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A and M has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Texas A and M is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Texas A and M is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Texas A and M is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Alabama is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Alabama is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Alabama is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas A and M: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama

#17 Texas A&M is 13-3 (.684) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2020 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

#17 Texas A&M is 12-3 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

#17 Texas A&M is 9-3 (.692) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

#17 Texas A&M is 9-3 (.750) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423

Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A and M

#2 Alabama is undefeated (13-0) when committing less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

#2 Alabama is undefeated (17-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

#2 Alabama is 15-2 (.750) when passing for more than 300 yards since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439

#2 Alabama is 22-1 (.733) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2020 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

Matchup Notes for Texas A and M vs. Alabama

Alabama’s receiving corps have 237.5 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Power 5 WR corps. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed just 192.7 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among SEC defenses.

Alabama’s receiving corps has 38 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Power 5 WR corps. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 17 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest among SEC defenses.

Alabama has 31 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-most among Power 5 skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s tight end unit has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 TE corps. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — tied for second-best among SEC defenses.

Texas A and M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M’s tight end unit has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 TE corps. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — tied for second-best among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M QBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Skill Players have averaged just 4.4 yards per reception (40 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.1

Texas A&M Skill Players have caught just 56 of 122 passes (46% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

Texas A&M Skill Players have averaged just 6.5 yards per reception (84 yards/13 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.2

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

#1 Alabama QBs have 31 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since last season– most among FBS Teams

#1 Alabama RBs have averaged 10.2 Yards per Carry (325 yards/32 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

#1 Alabama RBs have averaged 10.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (352 yards / 34 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

#1 Alabama RBs have averaged 7.8 Yards per Carry (793 yards/102 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

#1 Alabama RBs have caught 10 touchdown passes since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 78 carries (11.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Texas A&M has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 581 carries (72.6 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.2

Texas A&M has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 78 carries (11.1 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9

Texas A&M has allowed 8 rushing TDs on 581 carries (72.6 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 26.4

Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on just 16 of 139 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) this season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%.

Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends

#1 Alabama has allowed one passing TD (113 pass attempts) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 21.5

#1 Alabama has sacked opponents 67 times since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#1 Alabama has allowed one touchdown on 60 completions this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 12.9

#1 Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 41 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

#1 Alabama has allowed one passing TD (113 pass attempts) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 26.7


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Alabama vs Texas A and M and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.