Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

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Auburn running back Jarquez Hunter (27) carries the ball against Alabama during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM
  • Texas A&M is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Auburn
  • Texas A&M vs. Auburn Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Texas A&M Aggies (8-2) visit Pat Dye Field at Jordan-Hare Stadium to take on the Auburn Tigers (4-6) on Nov. 23 in Auburn, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Texas A&M vs. Auburn Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Texas A&M vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas A&M-2.5 -11546.5 -110-135
Auburn +2.5 -10546.5 -110+110

Texas A&M vs Auburn Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas A&M and Auburn, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas A&M vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Auburn will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas A&M Player Prop Bets Today

  • Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receptions Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Le’Veon Moss has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Conner Weigman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Auburn players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Auburn Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Jarquez Hunter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rivaldo Fairweather has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cam Coleman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Payton Thorne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -43.12% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 8.05% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI

Auburn Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Auburn is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Auburn is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -14.13% ROI
  • Auburn is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Auburn is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Auburn

Texas A&M is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673

Texas A&M is 12-1 (.923) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .673

Texas A&M is undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .650

Texas A&M is 15-3 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .677

Auburn: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M

Auburn is 1-9 (.100) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .527

Auburn is winless (0-5) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Auburn is 1-9 (.100) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Auburn is 1-10 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .488

Matchup Notes for Texas A&M vs. Auburn

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 295 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has 23 receptions in 10 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has 23 receptions in 10 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — 2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game this season — T-18th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among P5 TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s RBs has averaged 11.6 yards after the catch this season — 13th-best among FBS RBs. Auburn’s defense has allowed 12.3 RAC this season — 5th-worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 377 yards on 23 receptions (16.4 YPR) this season — best among SEC TEs. Auburn’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends

Auburn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 295 attempts this season — 21st-best among FBS offenses. Texas A&M’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.2% of attempts this season — 4th-best among SEC defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Auburn’s WRs has gained 2,035 yards on 130 receptions (15.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC WRs. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Auburn has gained 2,565 yards on 187 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-15th-best among FBS skill players. Texas A&M’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among SEC defenses.

Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (7 completions/23 attempts) last week– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 37 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Texas A&M has sacked opposing QBs just once on 57 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.4

Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (7 completions/23 attempts) last week– best in the SEC; Average: 59%

Texas A&M allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (3 completions/12 attempts) in the 1st half last week– best in the SEC; Average: 60%

Auburn Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Auburn allowed passes of 40+ yards on 1 of 16 attempts (6%) last week– 2nd-worst in the SEC; Average: 1%

Auburn has forced 3 fumbles on 353 carries (117.7 Carries Per Fumble) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 36.0

Auburn allowed 34.0 yards per completion (68 yards/2 completions) on 1st down last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.5

Auburn has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (14 completions/27 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 64%

Auburn allowed 17.1 yards per completion (154 yards/9 completions) last week– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.